Bournemouth vs Leeds United 9/27/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction for this English Premier League Week 6 matchup on Saturday, September 27th, at the Elland Road Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this English Premier League matchup.

Leeds Preview

Leeds has 7 points this season, with a 2-2-1 record, and are sitting on the 12th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 1-0-1 home record and a 1-2-0 away record. Leeds is coming off a 3-1 road defeat at Wolves, where they had 44% possession of the ball and 6 total shots, 4 of them on target. They had 84% completed passes, and less expected goals, with 0.49 compared to Wolves’ 1.79.

Leeds is scoring 0.80 goals per game, which ranks 20th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.40 goals per game, which is 17th. Gabriel Gudmundsson, Anton Stach, Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor and Dominic Calvert-Lewin are Leeds’ top scorers with 1 goal each. Anton Stach and Jayden Bogle are Leeds’ top passers, with 1 assist each.

Bournemouth Preview

Bournemouth has 10 points this season, with a 3-1-1 record, and are sitting on the 4th place in the Premier League standings. They have a 2-0-1 home record and a 1-1-0 away record. Bournemouth is coming off a 0-0 home draw against Newcastle, where they had 56% possession of the ball and 11 total shots, 2 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 0.46 compared to Newcastle’s 0.14.

Bournemouth is scoring 1.20 goals per game, which ranks 6th in the Premier League, while allowing 1.00 goals per game, which is 6th. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top scorer with 3 goals, followed by Alex Scott, Evanilson and Marcus Tavernier with 1 goal each. Antoine Semenyo is Bournemouth’s top passer, with 2 assists.

Why Leeds United will win

·        The home team has won five of the last six league matches between Leeds and Bournemouth.

·        The home team has won five of the last six league matches between Leeds and Bournemouth.

·        Leeds has won four of its last five league day matches.

·        Leeds has won five of its last six league matches following a league win.

Why Bournemouth will win

·        Bournemouth has won four of its last five EPL day matches.

·        Bournemouth has won four of its last five EPL Saturday matches.

·        Bournemouth has won each of its last three EPL day matches against promoted teams.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last five EPL matches following a league win.

·        Leeds has lost each of its last four EPL day matches following a league win.

·        Leeds has lost six of its last seven EPL matches following a league win.

·        Leeds has lost eight of its last 10 EPL day matches.

Total Points Facts

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of the last five league matches between Leeds and Bournemouth.

·        The ‘Over 3.5 Goals’ market has hit in four of Leeds’ last five EPL matches as a home underdog.

·        The ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in six of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL matches as a favorite.

·        The ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ market has hit in 11 of Leeds’ last 13 EPL matches as an underdog.

Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction

Leeds is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against Bournemouth, and over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Bournemouth vs Leeds United Prediction, Bournemouth is coming as -135 road favorites. Leeds has been undefeated at home this season, with one win and one draw, is just 1-1 on the road. Leeds has been dominating Bournemouth historically, and I like them as home dogs in this matchup. Take Leeds United by +1.5 goals in this one.