Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion 4/2/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Brighton & Hove Albion

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa

Recent betting trends in games played between the Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion game

Brighton & Hove Albion Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion has 47 points this season and are tied with Newcastle on the 6th place of the Premier League standings. Brighton has a 12-6-11 record this season and have a 6-2-6 home record. They are coming off a 0-1 home defeat by Nottingham Forest in the FA Cup, which was their first one after a draw and six consecutive wins before that. Over is 8-1 in their last 9 overall games, and a 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Both teams to score - Yes is 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Brighton is averaging 1.66 goals per game, which is tied for 8th in the league, while allowing 1.45 goals per game, which is 12th in the league. João Pedro is the top scorer for Brighton this season with 8 total goals, while Kaoru Mitoma and Callum Danny Welbeck follow with 7 goals apiece. João Pedro is also the team’s top passer, with 6 assists made.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 45 points this season and is currently tied with Fulham in the 8th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 12-8-9 record this season and have a 5-7-2 road record. Aston Villa is coming off a 3-0 road victory over Preston for the FA Cup, marking their sixth consecutive victory across all competitions. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 overall games and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Both teams to score - No is 3-1 in their last 4 games.

Aston Villa is averaging just 1.41 goals per games, which is 12th in the league, while allowing 1.55 goals per game, which is tied for 14th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 13 total goals, while Morgan Rogers and Marcus Rashford follow with 7 goals apiece. Ollie Watkins is also the team’s top passer, with 6 assists made.

Why Brighton & Hove Albion will win

• Brighton has won four of its last five EPL matches.
• Brighton has won each of its last three EPL matches as a favorite.
• The home team has won four of Brighton's last six EPL matches.
• The home team has won three of the last four EPL matches between Brighton and Aston Villa.
• Aston Villa has won five of its last seven EPL matches against Brighton.
• Aston Villa has lost seven of its last 10 EPL away matches.
• Aston Villa has lost five of its last six EPL matches as an underdog following a league win.

Total Points Facts

• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in four of Aston Villa's last five EPL matches.
• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in each of Brighton's last three EPL matches.
• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in nine of Brighton's last 12 EPL home matches.
• The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Brighton's last six EPL matches.
• The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in seven of Aston Villa's last eight EPL matches as an underdog.
• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in five of Brighton's last six league home matches against Aston Villa.

Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, both teams ended up in a 2-2 draw in Villa Park. Aston Villa is 5-1-1 in their last 7 overall meetings against Brighton, and are 3-1-2 in their last 6 visits in American Express Stadium. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings, but under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in American Express Stadium.

In this Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Brighton is coming as +110 home favorites. Brighton is rightfully favored, as they have more points this season and have both a better offense and defense than Aston Villa. Both teams have been in very good form lately, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have been playing some higher scoring games lately, as they are 12-2 to the over in their last 14 games combined, and their previous meeting this season had 4 total goals. Most of their recent meeting had also been high-scoring ones, so keep it simple and take the over 3 goals in this one.