Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Washington Capitals and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals lost to the Penguins, beat the Blues, and they play the Hurricanes next. The Capitals have lost 5 of their last 6 games.

The Washington Capitals are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 15.2 percent of their power play opportunities. Tom Wilson leads Washington with 9 goals, Dylan Strome has 10 assists, and Jakob Chychrun has 43 shots on goal. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 2.43 goals per game and are killing 72.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 13 goals on 209 shots faced, and Charlie Lindgren has allowed 18 goals on 147 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Avs, beat the Golden Knights, and they play the Rangers next. The Lightning have won 6 of their last 7 games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.07 goals per game and are scoring on 16.7 percent of their power play opportunities. Anthony Cirelli leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Victor Hedman has 11 assists, and Jake Guentzel has 40 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 89.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 27 goals on 273 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 11 goals on 131 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Capitals have lost five of their last six games.
• The Lightning have won five of their last six night games.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Lightning have won the first period in six of their last seven night games against the Capitals following a road win.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have won four of their last six games as underdogs against the Lightning.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last nine games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 13 of the Lightning’s last 14 games.
• The road team has won the third period in each of the Lightning’s last five games.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Lightning’s last 10 night games against Eastern Conference opponents at Benchmark International Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Saturday night games between teams from the same conference have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last nine games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in six of the Lightning’s last seven home games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in five of the Lightning’s last six games.
• Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents at Benchmark International Arena.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded an assist in each of the Lightning’s last four games against the Capitals.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Tom Wilson has scored at least one goal in three of the Capitals’ last four games.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Capitals’ last 15 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded an assist in three of his last four appearances with the Capitals as road underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for power play goals against this season (5).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T5th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.79).
• The Washington Capitals rank 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.73%).
• The Washington Capitals have recorded the equal-most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (3).

Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The Capitals have hit a cold stretch where the offense is in a drought and the losses are starting to pile up. The Lightning are playing their best hockey of the season, and they’re usually a tough out at home. The Lightning continue to dig deep defensively, and they haven’t allowed more than 3 goals in each of their last 12 games. This feels like teams heading in different directions. The price is reasonable. Give me the Lightning.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning