Dec 3, 2025; Newark, New Jersey, USA; Dallas Stars left wing Jason Robertson (21) skates with the puck as New Jersey Devils defenseman Luke Hughes (43) defends during the third period at Prudential Center. Mandatory Credit: Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images
Ed Mulholland-Imagn Images

Sharks vs Stars Prediction 12/5/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP San Jose Sharks Dallas Stars
Team Records 13-12-3 18-5-5
Spread +1.5 -115 -1.5 -105
Moneyline +225 -278
Total Over 6.5 (110) Under 6.5 (-130)
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When Friday, December 5, 2025
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Sharks vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Friday, December 5th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

San Jose Sharks Betting Preview

The San Jose Sharks are 13-12-3 this year after they lost to Washington by a score of 7-1 in their last game. San Jose allowed four goals in the first period, two in the second, and one in the third, but did score with about seven minutes left to avoid the shutout. The Sharks were out shot by a total of 31-24, won 44% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. San Jose got their lone goal from Regenda, while Askarov stopped eight out of 12 shots and Nedeljkovic stopped 16 out of 19. 

Prior to that game, San Jose defeated the Mammoth by a score of 6-3, but lost to the Golden Knights by a score of 4-3 before that. The Sharks have alternated wins and losses over their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the Pacific standings with 29 points. San Jose has scored 2.86 goals per game and they have allowed 3.32 goals against per game, while also going 19.2% on the power play and 81.1% on the penalty kill this season. Macklin Celebrini has led SJ with 14 goals and 26 assists, while Will Smith has added 12 goals and 15 assists. The projected starting goalie for San Jose is Yaroslav Askarov, who is 10-7-1 with a 3.15 goals against average and a .905 save percentage this year. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 18-5-5 this season after they defeated New Jersey by a score of 3-0 in their last game. Dallas scored twice in the second period and once in the third for the shutout win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 30-28, won 38.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Rantanen, Robertson, and Heiskanen, while Oettinger stopped all 30 shots in the shutout victory. 

Prior to that game, Dallas lost to the Rangers in overtime by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Senators by a score of 6-1 before that. The Stars have won five of their last six games and they are currently second in the Central standings with 41 points. Dallas has scored 3.43 goals per game and they have allowed 2.57 goals against per game, while also going 31.5% on the power play and 80.9% on the penalty kill this season. Jason Robertson has led Dallas with 17 goals and 19 assists, while Mikko Rantanen has added 12 goals and 23 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 12-4-2 with a 2.60 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this season. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Stars have won each of their last seven games at American Airlines Center following a road win.
  • The Sharks have lost 10 of their last 11 night games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in three of their last four games against the Sharks.
  • The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in three cof their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Stars have won the first period in each of their last four night games against the Sharks following a road win.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Each of the Sharks’ last five games as road underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Each of the Stars’ last four night games against the Sharks following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last 10 games as favorites against the Sharks.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last seven games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.

    Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

    • Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against the Sharks.
    • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last nine games as favorites against the Sharks.
    • Mikko Rantanen has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Stars’ last 10 games at American Airlines Center.

    San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

    • William Smith has scored at least one goal in each of the Sharks’ last three games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
    • Macklin Celebrini has recorded at least one point in eight of the Sharks’ last nine games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
    • Macklin Celebrini has recorded at least one assist in four of the Sharks’ last five games against Western Conference opponents.

    Sharks vs Stars Prediction 

    Dallas continues to be one of the hottest teams in the NHL right now, as they have won 11 of their last 14 games. The Stars are 8-4-1 at home this year, while the Sharks are 4-7-0 on the road. San Jose has alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, but they just lost 7-1 to Washington last time out. The Sharks have allowed 22 goals in their last five games and I just don’t see their goaltending being good enough here. Take the Stars to win by at least two goals.

    David Racey's Pick: Stars -1.5

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