San Jose Sharks vs Dallas Stars Prediction 10/5/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Sharks vs Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, October 5th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Dallas Stars Preview

The Stars have 0 points this season with a 0-2-0 record, and are 0-2 ATS and 0-2 in over/under. They are coming off a 2-1 road loss to the Predators and will face the Sabres and Penguins next.

Offensively, the Stars are averaging 0.50 goals per game and are scoring 0.00% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.00 goals per game and are killing 71.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Miro Heiskanen leads the Stars with one point and a team-high one goal, while Mikko Rantanen leads the team in assists with one. Jake Oettinger is the starting goalie for the Stars, and he has a 0-1-0 record, with 2.06 GAA and .909 SV%. Casey DeSmith is the backup goalie and he has a 0-1-0 record, with 2.06 GAA and .923 SV%.

San Jose Sharks Preview

The Sharks have 4 points this season with a 2-0-0 record, and are 2-0 ATS and 2-0 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home overtime win over the Kings and will face the Blues and Oilers next.

Offensively, the Sharks are averaging 4.50 goals per game and are scoring 33.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.50 goals per game and are killing 66.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Macklin Celebrini leads the Sharks with 5 points and a team-high 5 assists, while Igor Chernyshov leads the team in goals with 2. Yaroslav Askarov is the starting goalie for the Sharks, and he has a 2-0-0 record, with 3.32 GAA and .885 SV%.

San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars Betting Trends: October 5, 2026

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Sharks.
• The Sharks have lost each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games at American Airlines Center following a win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Sharks following a road loss.
• The Sharks have lost the second period in each of their last five games at American Airlines Center following a win.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Sharks’ last six games.
• The Stars have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Sharks have covered the puck line in each of their last nine Monday games as underdogs.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 home games following a road loss.
• The Sharks have won the second period in each of their last four games as underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sharks’ last seven games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six home games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last six games as road underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight home games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored a goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Sharks.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston ranked 1st in the league for Power Play Goals (27) last season.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

• Igor Chernyshov has scored at least one goal in four of the Sharks’ last five games against Western Conference opponents.
• Mason Marchment has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Macklin Celebrini ranked 4th in the league for Points (115) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars ranked 2nd in the league for goals against per game last season (2.71).
• The Dallas Stars ranked 2nd in the league in power play percentage last season (28.63%).
• The San Jose Sharks ranked 30th in the league for goals against per game last season (3.54).
• The San Jose Sharks ranked 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage last season (76.42%).

Sharks vs Stars Prediction

The Stars are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Sharks and have won their last four meetings in Dallas.

In this Sharks vs Stars Prediction, the Stars are coming as -165 home favorites. The Stars have lost both games this season but they were a back-to-back set. They scored just one goal in those and conceded 6, they have not scored a single power play goal and have a 71.4% penalty kill. The Sharks on the other hand have a red-hot offense with 4.5 goals per game and have been undefeated this season. With the way both teams have looked so far, I have to take a stab with the Sharks on the road and a nice +140 plus money price.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Jose Sharks ML