Oct 8, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Boston Bruins goaltender Jeremy Swayman (1) makes a save against in front of Washington Capitals defenseman Jakob Chychrun (6) during the first period at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Sabres vs Bruins Prediction 10/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Buffalo (0-1-0) vs Boston (2-0-0)

October 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Boston -115 — Over/Under: +6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Sabres vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 11th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 0-1-0 this year after they lost to the Rangers by a score of 4-0 in their first game. Buffalo only trailed 1-0 after two periods, but they allowed three goals late in the third for the lopsided loss. The Sabres out shot New York by a total of 37-33, won 35% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Buffalo also recorded 24 hits and 12 blocked shots in the loss. The Sabres were led by Alex Tuch, who had six shots on goal, while Malenstyn led the way with four hits. Buffalo started Alex Lyon in net, who stopped 29 out of 32 shots, which was a .906 save percentage. 

Last season, Buffalo went 36-39-7 and finished with 79 points, which was seventh in the Atlantic Division and 14th in the Eastern Conference. The Sabres started last season by losing five of their first six games and they scored just one goal in each of their first three contests. Last year, Buffalo scored 265 goals, which was ranked 10th in the NHL, while they allowed 287 goals against, which was ranked 29th. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 2-0-0 this season after they defeated Chicago in overtime by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Boston led 1-0 in the first period and 3-2 in the third, but they allowed the tying goal, before winning in the first few minutes of overtime. The Bruins out shot Chicago by a total of 33-24, won 58.5% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Boston also recorded 25 hits and blocked 16 shots in the overtime win. The Bruins got goals from Jeannot, Lindholm, Minten, and Mittelstadt, while Zadorov led the team with seven hits. Boston started Korpisalo in goal, who stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

The Bruins started the season with a 3-1 win over Washington in their opener, so this is a great start to the year after last season’s disaster. Boston is averaging 3.50 goals per game and they are allowing 2.00 goals against per game, while also averaging 28.6% on the power play and 100% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with one goal and three assists, while Elias Lindholm has added two goals and one assist this year. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 1-0-0 with a 1.00 goal against average and a .972 save percentage this season. 

Why the Boston Bruins will win

The Sabres have lost each of their last five road games against opponents on a winning streak.
The Bruins have won each of their last five home games against the Sabres after coming off overtime.
The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Bruins’ last seven night games at TD Garden following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Each of the Sabres’ last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Twelve of the last 16 games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last four games following a home loss.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last four games following an overtime win.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in seven of the Bruins’ last eight games.
David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last eight night games.
David Pastrnak has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 11 night games.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

Rasmus Dahlin has scored a goal in three of the Sabres’ last four road games.
Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games as road underdogs.
Jason Zucker has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven Saturday night appearances.

Matchup/League Facts

The Boston Bruins rank T8th in the league in power play percentage this season (28.57%).
The Boston Bruins rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (0).
The Buffalo Sabres rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (0).
The Buffalo Sabres rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).

Sabres vs Bruins Prediction 

Boston has started the season with two straight wins and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Bruins have scored seven goals through two games and they have looked very strong, as they look to improve on last season. Buffalo was shutout 4-0 in their first game, but the game was closer than that before it got away late. The Sabres started last season slow and this appears to be very similar. Take the Bruins at home.

David Racey's Pick: Bruins ML

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