Oct 9, 2025; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Pittsburgh Penguins center Evgeni Malkin (71) reacts after scoring a goal against the New York Islanders during the first period at PPG Paints Arena. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Pittsburgh (7-2-1) vs Philadelphia (4-3-1)

October 28, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia -155 — Over/Under: +5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Xfinity Mobie Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction.

Pittsburgh Penguins Recap

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to build on their 6-3 win over the St. Louis Blues last time out to sit at 7-2-1 this season. After this game, the Penguins will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Wild. 

Penguins Win 5 Of Last 6

Entering Monday, Evgeni Malkin leads Pittsburgh with 14 points, 2 goals and a team-high 12 assists while Sidney Crosby has 11 points with 6 goals and 5 assists so far this season. Justin Brazeau has a team-high 5 goals and Ryan Shea’s pitched in 4 assists while Rickard Rakell’s added 8 points with 3 goals and 5 assists. Anthony Mantha’s got 8 points with 4 goals and 4 assists while Erik Karlsson has 6 assists. Parker Wotherspoon aalso has 4 assists while Tommy Novak, Bryan Rust and Kris Letang each have 4 points with 3 assists. Arturs Silovs has gone 3-1-1 with a 2.56 GAA and a .914 save percentage in goal for the Penguins so far this season while Tristan Jarry is 3-1 with a 2.52 GAA and a .921 save percentage this year.

Philadelphia Flyers Recap

The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 shootout win over the Islanders last time out to sit at 4-3-1 this season. After this game, Philadelphia will take on the Nashville Predators at home.

Flyers Win 3 Of Last 4

Sean Couturier and Trevor Zegras lead the Flyers with 8 points including a team-high 6 assists while Noah Cates and Tyson Foerster each have 6 points with 3 goals and 3 assists. Owen Tippett has a team-high 5 goals while Bobby Brink has 5 points with 2 goals and 3 assists. Christian Dvorak has 4 points with 2 goals and 2 assists while Travis Konecny and Travis Sanheim each have 4 points with 3 assists. Matvei Michkov has 3 points with a goal and 2 assists while Cam York and Jamie Drysdale each have 3 assists this season. Dan Vladar has gone 3-2 with a 1.81 GAA and a .932 save percentage while Samuel Ersson is 1-1-1 with a 3.50 GAA and an .861 save percentage in goal for Philadelphia this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: October 28, 2025

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The Penguins have lost each of their last six games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Flyers have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four night games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Penguins have lost the third period in nine of their last 10 games at Xfinity Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.
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Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Penguins have won each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Flyers have lost three of their last four games as favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Penguins have won the third period in 12 of their last 13 games at Xfinity Mobile Arena when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Flyers’ last eight home games following a shootout win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Penguins’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four night games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 10 of the Flyers’ last 11 games following an overtime win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Penguins’ last five games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Christian Dvorak has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances against Eastern Conference opponents at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded at least one point in each of his eight previous appearances at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
  • Trevor Zegras has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last five home games.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

  • Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Sidney Crosby has scored at least one goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Penguins as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.75).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 8th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (87.10%).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.80).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (33.33%).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction

I’m on the Flyers here. The Penguins continue to have a strong start to the year, but I don’t love the spot for them on the second half of the back-to-back here. The Flyers have quietly won three straight games at home and I kind of like how they’re playing it right now. I’ll roll with the Flyers at home in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Philadelphia -155

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