Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers Prediction 10/7/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Pittsburgh Penguins and the New York Rangers meet Tuesday in NHL action from Madison Square Garden. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Rangers prediction.

Pittsburgh Penguins Team Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into the 2025-26 season looking to steer the ship back on course after a 34-36-12 mark in 2024-25, missing the playoffs for the third consecutive season, something that hasn’t happened since the 2005-06 season. Time’s running out for Pittsburgh’s core, but Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin are both back in the black and yellow after Crosby led the Pens with 91 points and marking his 20th season where he averaged at least a point per game, as well as three straight seasons of 90+ points and four straight of 30+ goals. Malkin had his lowest goal and point totals since 2010-11, yet the Pens were 3rd in the NHL, where their games saw 6.54 goals per game. The defense has to be better behind Kris Letang and Erik Karlsson, and the goaltending has to be better after Tristan Jarry was abysmal last season and Arturs Silovs comes over from Vancouver to battle for starts in the Steel City.

New York Rangers Team Preview

The New York Rangers come into this game looking to bounce back from a disappointing 2024-25 season, finishing 39-36-7 on the year, missing the playoffs for the first time since 2009-10. The 29-point drop in year two under Peter Laviolette saw the Rangers make a coaching change to former Penguins coach Mike Sullivan, who inherits a solid Ranger lineup that returns their top four in Artemi Panarin, Mika Zibanejad, J.T. Miller and Vincent Trocheck after Panarin led the Rangers in goals, assists, points and shots on goal. On defense, the Rangers brought in the main prize of the free agency period in Vladislav Gavrikov, who lines up alongside Adam Fox at the top of the Rangers’ defensive group. Igor Shesterkin and Jonathan Quick made up one of the more imposing goalie tandems early on in the year before falling apart down the stretch, but the hope is that the pair can return to their early season form to get started on the right foot this season.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ New York Rangers Betting Trends: October 7, 2025

Why the New York Rangers will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last six Tuesday road games.
• The Rangers have won each of their last three season openers.
• The Rangers have covered the puck line in nine of their last 11 games against the Penguins.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last 10 season openers.
• The Penguins have lost the first period in eight of their last nine road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Rangers have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have won each of their last three road openers as underdogs.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine night games at Madison Square Garden.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as underdogs.
• The Penguins have won the third period in each of their last five games as road underdogs.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Penguins’ last nine games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Metropolitan Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last six games as underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Vincent Trocheck has scored a goal in each of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites.
• Adam Fox has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rangers as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• J.T. Miller has recorded at least one point in each of the Rangers’ last nine night games.
• Artemi Panarin ranked T3rd in the league for multi-goal games (8) last season.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in five of the Penguins’ last six games as road underdogs.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last 12 games as underdogs.
• Sidney Crosby ranked T3rd in the league for Game Winning Goals (10) last season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Rangers ranked 28th in the league in power play percentage last season (17.62%).
• The New York Rangers ranked 1st in the league in short handed goals last season (18).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked T29th in the league for goals against per game last season (3.50).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins ranked 6th in the league in power play percentage last season (25.79%).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Rangers Prediction

I’m on the Rangers here. I just think between these two storied franchises that both underdelivered in 2024-25, it’s the Rangers that are better equipped to bounce back. It feels like Pittsburgh’s time has come and gone, and the Rangers are too good to continue to struggle the way they did last year. The Rangers have too much of an edge between the pipes to ignore here, and I’m rolling with New York in this one.