Penguins vs Sharks Prediction 11/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Penguins vs Sharks Prediction

San Jose comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak with a win last time out, but they have allowed at least four goals in three of their last four games. The Sharks are 4-5-0 at home this year, while the Penguins are 2-7-1 on the road. Pittsburgh has also lost four of their last five games and they have allowed at least five goals in three of those five. The Penguins have been awful on the road and I think the Sharks are picking up some momentum, so give me San Jose to win here.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Penguins are 6-10-2 this season after they lost to the Ducks by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Pittsburgh cut the deficit from 4-0 to 4-2 in the third period, but they allowed an empty net goal to seal the loss. The Penguins out shot Anaheim by a total of 33-25, won 51.7% of the face-offs, and went 2-6 on the power play in the game. Pittsburgh was led by Kris Letang, who had one goal, while Rickard Rakell also added one goal. Arturs Silovs stopped 20 out of 24 shots in the loss.

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Kings by a score of 5-2, but lost to the Bruins by a score of 6-2 before that. The Penguins have scored 3.17 goals per game and they have allowed 3.56 goals against per game, while also going 20.4% on the power play and 76.6% on the penalty kill this season. Erik Karlsson has led the team with three goals and 15 assists, while Evgeni Malkin has added six goals and 10 assists. Arturs Silovs is 5-6-1 with a 3.35 goals against average and an .873 save percentage this season.

San Jose Sharks Betting Preview

The San Jose Sharks are 8-11-1 this year after they defeated the Islanders by a score of 3-2 in a shootout. The Sharks trailed 1-0 and 2-1, but they were able to force overtime, before winning in a lengthy shootout. San Jose out shot New York by a total of 41-32, won 41.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. The Sharks were led by Tyler Toffoli, who had one goal and one assist, while Ivar Stenberg also added one goal. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 30 out of 32 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, San Jose lost to the Stars by a score of 4-3 and the Wild by a score of 4-1. The Sharks have scored 2.45 goals per game and they have allowed 3.50 goals against per game, while also going 20.3% on the power play and 76.4% on the penalty kill this season. Macklin Celebrini has led the team with seven goals and 14 assists, while Will Smith has seven goals and six assists. Yaroslav Askarov is 5-8-0 with a 3.22 goals against average and an .889 save percentage this year.

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

• The Penguins have lost eight of their last nine road games.
• The underdogs have won three of the Penguins’ last four games.
• The Sharks have covered the puck line in each of their last six night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as road favorites.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in five of their last six road games.

Total Goals Facts

• Eight of the Sharks’ last nine night games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Penguins’ last four games at SAP Center at San Jose following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Wednesday night games at SAP Center at San Jose have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last eight games as favorites against the Sharks.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last four games following a win.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

• Mason Marchment has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Penguins.
• Dmitry Orlov has recorded an assist in four of the Sharks’ last five games as home underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Sidney Crosby has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as favorites against the Sharks.
• Erik Karlsson has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Penguins’ last 10 road games.

Positive Trends

After reviewing the above trends, I am comfortable backing the Sharks to win here. Pittsburgh has lost eight of their last nine road games and they have played poorly in the second period in their last six road games. San Jose has also covered the puck line against Metro opponents in six straight night games and I don’t see that changing here against a Pittsburgh team that is bad on the road. Take the Sharks here.

David Racey's Pick: Sharks ML