New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/16/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The New York Rangers and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

New York Rangers Recap

The New York Rangers come into this game looking to rebound from a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Edmonton Oilers last time out to sit at 2-3 this season. After this game, the Rangers will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Rangers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Adam Fox leads the Rangers with 4 points including a team-high 3 goals and an assist while Sam Carrick has 3 assists and J.T. Miller has 3 points with a goal and 2 assists. Noah Laba, Adam Edstrom and Artemi Panarin each have 2 assists while Alexis Lafreniere has 2 points with a goal and an assist. Carson Soucy, Taylor Raddysh, Will Cuylle, Matt Rempe and Mika Zibanejad all have a goal while Conor Sheary, Vincent Trocheck, Braden Schneider and Juuso Parssinen each have an assist this season. Igor Shesterkin has gone 2-2 with a 0.76 GAA and a .972 save percentage while Jonathan Quick is 0-1 with a 1.03 GAA and a .952 save percentage in goal for the Rangers so far this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 7-4 win over the Nashville Predators last time out to sit at 2-2 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on the Seattle Kraken at home.

Maple Leafs Snap Two-Game Slide

William Nylander leads Toronto with 7 points including 2 goals and a team-high 5 assists while Matthew Knies has 6 points with 5 assists as well. John Tavares has 5 points with a goal and 4 assists while Morgan Rielly has 4 points with 3 assists and Auston Matthews has 4 points with 3 goals. Calle Jarnkrok also has 3 goals as well while Bobby McMann has 3 points with 2 goals and an assists and Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 3 points with 2 assists as well this season. Steven Lorentz has a pair of assists and Nicolas Roy and Jake McCabe each have 2 points with a goal and an assist this season. In goal for Toronto, Anthony Stolarz is 1-2 with a 3.05 GAA and an .886 save percentage while Cayden Primeau is 1-0 with a 4.00 GAA and an .867 save percentage so far this season. 

New York Rangers @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: October 16, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games at Scotiabank Arena following a loss.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last six games against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the New York Rangers will win

• The road team has won each of the Rangers’ last five games.
• The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last 14 games between the Rangers and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 15 games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have won the third period in each of their last five games against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last six games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight home games.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Auston Matthews has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• John Tavares ranks T1st in the league for multi-assist games (2) this season.

New York Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Alexis Lafreniere has scored a goal in each of the Rangers’ last three road games against the Maple Leafs.
• J.T. Miller has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Rangers’ last eight road games.
• Vincent Trocheck has recorded at least one point in each of the Rangers’ last 13 games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Adam Fox ranks T3rd in the league for multi-goal game (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T31st in the league in power play percentage this season (0.00%).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 3rd in the league for goals per game this season (4.25).
• The New York Rangers rank T1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (100.00%).
• The New York Rangers rank 2nd in the league for goals against per game this season (1.40).

New York Rangers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the over here. I’m still not sold on Toronto defensively right now, but the offense has been one of the best in the league in the early going so far this season. The Rangers are coming off of back-to-back shutout losses, but for whatever reason, New York can’t score at home, but on the road they’ve been much better in terms of finding the back of the net. I think we get soe goals here so give me the over here.