New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals Prediction 10/31/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Islanders vs Capitals Prediction for this NHL game on Friday, October 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 12 points this season with a 6-4-0 record, and are 5-5 ATS and 3-5 in over/under. They have a 3-3-0 home record and a 3-1-0 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 1-0 road loss to the Stars and will face the Sabres, Blues and Penguins next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 2.70 goals per game and are scoring 18.75% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.20 goals per game and are killing 67.86% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tom Wilson leads Washington with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Dylan Strome follows with 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 5-2-0 record, with 1.44 GAA and .939 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 1-2-0 record, with 3.72 GAA and .882 SV%.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have 9 points this season with a 4-5-1 record, and are 4-6 ATS and 9-1 in over/under. They have a 3-2-0 home record and a 1-3-1 road record and are sitting 8th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 2-6 road loss to the Hurricanes and will face the Blue Jackets, Bruins and Wild next.

Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 3.40 goals per game and are scoring 16.67% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.80 goals per game and are killing 71.90% of their opponent’s power plays.

Bo Horvat leads New York with 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, while Kyle Palmieri follows with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists. Ilya Sorokin is the starting goalie for the Islanders, and he has a 2-4-1 record, with 3.75 GAA and .868 SV%. David Rittich is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1-0 record, with 3.34 GAA and .900 SV%.

New York Islanders @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: October 31, 2025

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Islanders have lost each of their last nine night games following a road loss.
• The Capitals have won each of their last eight home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in five of their last six night games.
• The Islanders have lost the third period in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The underdogs have won 10 of the Islanders’ last 15 games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 14 of the Islanders’ last 15 games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in 15 of their last 18 games as home favorites following a road loss.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last seven games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Islanders’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Capitals’ last six games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last seven night games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last six games against opponents on a losing streak.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Tom Wilson has scored a goal in four of the Capitals’ last five night games at Capital One Arena.
• Alex Ovechkin has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances with the Capitals as favorites against the Islanders.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in five of his last six appearances.
• Aliaksei Protas has scored two goals against the Islanders this season – most against any opponent.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Palmieri has scored a goal in each of the Islanders’ last six Friday night road games.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight Friday road appearances.
• Bo Horvat has recorded two assists against the Capitals this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.20).
• The Washington Capitals rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (67.86%).
• The New York Islanders rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.80).
• The New York Islanders rank T25th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.67%).

Islanders vs Capitals Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Capitals won 4-2 in New York and are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Islanders and 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Washington. 

In this Islanders vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -230 home favorites. The Islanders are on the second leg of a road back-to-back and are on their fourth stop of a road trip, having played three road games in four nights, so it’s a brutal scheduling spot. They have lost all of their three games of this road trip and have to go up against a rested Capitals team that has the best defense in hockey this season. I expect the hosts to get the job done comfortably, so take the Capitals on the puckline in this one.