Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction 10/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, October 10th at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 2-2-1 this year after they lost to the Golden Knights in a shootout by a score of 4-3 last time out. Toronto led 3-0 in the first period, but they couldn’t find anymore offense for the disappointing loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 43-24, won 59.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Toronto was led by Easton Cowan, who had one goal and four shots, while Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 40 out of 43 shots, which was a .930 save percentage in the loss.

Prior to that game, Toronto defeated the Predators by a score of 5-4, but lost to the Senators by a score of 3-2 before that. The Maple Leafs have scored 2.80 goals per game and they have allowed 2.80 goals against per game, while also going 20.0% on the power play and 93.3% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led the team with three goals and three assists, while Sergei Bobrovsky is 0-2-1 with a 2.96 goals against average and a .906 save percentage this year.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 3-1-0 this season after they defeated the Flames by a score of 7-3 in their last game. Colorado was tied 1-1 after the first period, but they scored the next five goals to pull away with the win. The Avalanche out shot Calgary by a total of 30-29, won 58.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Colorado was led by Cale Makar, who had two goals and one assist, while Scott Wedgewood stopped 26 out of 29 shots, which was an .897 save percentage in the win.

Prior to that game, Colorado lost to the Jets by a score of 3-2, but did beat the Blues by a score of 6-1 before that. The Avalanche have scored 5.75 goals per game and they have allowed 2.75 goals against per game, while also going 30.8% on the power play and 100.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led the team with three goals and five assists, while Mackenzie Blackwood is 2-1-0 with a 2.68 goals against average and an .895 save percentage this season.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last eight Saturday games.
• The Avalanche have won each of their last five night games following a road win.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in five of their last six games following a road win.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games.
• The Avalanche have won the third period in each of their last five games following a road win.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Avalanche have lost each of their last four night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have won three of their last five games as underdogs following a shootout loss.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have won the first period in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.

Total Goals Facts

• Four of the Avalanche’s last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Six of the Maple Leafs’ last eight night games following a shootout loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Maple Leafs and Avalanche at Ball Arena.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Brock Nelson has scored at least one goal in five of the Avalanche’s last six games against Atlantic Division opponents at Ball Arena.
• Martin Necas has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• William Nylander has scored at least one goal in three of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as underdogs.
• Kirill Marchenko has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances against Central Division opponents.

Maple Leafs vs Avalanche Prediction

Colorado comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 6+ goals in all three of those wins. The Avalanche are 2-0-0 at home this year, while the Maple Leafs are 0-0-1 on the road. Toronto has alternated wins and losses over their first five games and they have allowed four goals in each of their last two. Take the over in this one.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5