Flyers vs Capitals Prediction 10/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Oilers Prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, October 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Washington Capitals Preview

The Capitals have 12 points this season with a 6-4-0 record and a 5-2-0 home record. They are 4-6 ATS and 7-3 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-3 overtime home win against the Sabres and will face the Predators and Wild next.

Offensively, the Capitals are averaging 3.40 goals per game and are scoring 17.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.20 goals per game and are killing 81.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex Tuch leads the Capitals with 9 points, adding a team-high 7 goals, while Dylan Strome leads the team in assists with 6. Logan Thompson is the starting goalie for the Capitals, and he has a 4-3-0 record, with 2.90 GAA and .901 SV%. Charlie Lindgren is the backup goalie and he has a 2-1-0 record, with 2.98 GAA and .886 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 10 points this season with a 3-7-4 record and a 1-4-1 road record. They are 7-7 ATS and 5-9 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-4 overtime home loss against the Blue Jackets and will face the Mammoth and Wild next.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 1.93 goals per game and are scoring 15.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.21 goals per game and are killing 83% of their opponent’s power plays.

Trevor Zegras leads the Flyers with 12 points, adding a team-high 8 assists, while Matvei Michkov leads the team in goals with 8. Daniel Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 2-3-2 record, with 3.26 GAA and .888 SV%. Joseph Woll is the backup goalie and he has a 1-4-2 record, with 2.99 GAA and .904 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Washington Capitals Betting Trends: October 28, 2026

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The Capitals have won each of their last 10 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost each of their last nine games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Capitals have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 home games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at Capital One Arena.
• The Capitals have won the third period in 10 of their last 11 home games following an overtime win.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Flyers’ last five games.
• The Capitals have lost two of their last three games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Flyers’ last seven games.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games.
• The Capitals have lost the third period in each of their last six games when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Flyers’ last six road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Capitals’ last eight night games at Capital One Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the last eight games between the Flyers and Capitals.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last three games.

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Ovechkin has scored at least one goal in seven of the Capitals’ last eight home games against the Flyers.
• Alex Tuch has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against the Flyers.
• Alex Tuch ranks 1st in the league for Game Winning Goals (4) this season.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Trevor Zegras has scored a goal in each of the Flyers’ last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Travis Sanheim has recorded an assist in each of the Flyers’ last four games against the Capitals.
• Matvei Michkov has recorded a career faceoff win percentage of 60.0% against the Capitals (min. 5 faceoffs) – equal-most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Washington Capitals rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
• The Washington Capitals rank 1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.40).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (1.93).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 25th in the league in power play percentage this season (15.56%).

Flyers vs Capitals Prediction

The Capitals are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Flyers and have won their last five meetings in Washington, four of them by 2+ goals.

In this Flyers vs Capitals Prediction, the Capitals are coming as -225 home favorites. The Flyers are on the second leg of a back-to-back and have lost two straight, having allowed 9 goals in that span. On the flip side, the Capitals are 3-1 in their last 4 games and will be playing their 8th home game in their last 9. They have scored 4+ goals in three of their last four games and have an excellent history against the Flyers, so I expect them to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Washington Capitals -1.5