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Sabres vs Red Wings Prediction 3/12/25 NHL Picks

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Detroit Red Wings (30-28-6) vs Buffalo Sabres (25-32-6)

March 12, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Detroit Red Wings -135 / Buffalo Sabres +114 — Over/Under: 6.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Sabres vs Red Wings prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, March 12th at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 25-32-6 this year after they defeated Edmonton by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Buffalo led 1-0 in the first and 2-1 in the second, but they needed a goal early in the third to get the win. The Sabres were outshot by a total of 34-23, won 44.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Thompson (2) and Tuch, while UPL stopped 32 out of 34 shots in the game. 

Prior to that big win, the Sabres lost to the Panthers by a score of 4-0 and the Lightning by a score of 6-5. Buffalo has lost six of their last seven games and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with 56 points. Buffalo has scored 3.13 goals per game and they have allowed 3.48 goals against per game, while also going 16.6% on the power play and 76.8% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 33 goals, 23 assists, and 178 shots on goal, while JJ Peterka has added 19 goals, 32 assists, and 136 shots on goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is 21-20-4 with a 3.11 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year. 

Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 30-28-6 this season after they lost to Ottawa by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Detroit tied the game at one in the third period and they dominated most of the game, but they allowed a power-play goal with about five minutes left in the loss. The Red Wings outshot Ottawa by a total of 49-23, won 37.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit got their lone goal from Larkin, while Talbot stopped 21 out of 23 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Red Wings lost to the Capitals by a score of 5-2 and the Hockey Club by a score of 4-2. Detroit has lost six games in a row and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with 66 points. Detroit has scored 2.80 goals per game and they have allowed 3.19 goals against per game, while also going 28.2% on the power play and 69.5% on the penalty kill this season. Lucas Raymond has led Detroit with 22 goals, 44 assists, and 154 shots on goal, while Dylan Larkin has added 27 goals, 29 assists, and 205 shots on goal. Cam Talbot is 17-15-3 with a 2.96 goals-against average and a .901 save percentage this year. 

Why the Red Wings will beat the Sabres 

  • The Sabres have lost eight of their last nine road games.
  • The home team has won five of the last six games between the Sabres and Red Wings.
  • The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last four games following a road loss.
  • The Red Wings have won the third period in each of their last four night games against the Sabres when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Sabres’ last eight games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the last three games between the Sabres and Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Nine of the last 10 Wednesday night games between teams from the same conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Sabres’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in six of the Red Wings’ last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Alex DeBrincat has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings’ last eight games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as favorites.
  • Lucas Raymond has recorded an assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games against the Sabres.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Zucker has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Sabres as road underdogs.
  • Alex Tuch has scored a goal in five of the Sabres’ last six games as road underdogs.
  • Jason Zucker has recorded an assist in each of his last three road appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Sabres’ last game.

Sabres vs Red Wings Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup desperately needing a win to snap this losing streak, as they continue to fall in the playoff race. The Red Wings are 16-15-3 at home this year, while the Sabres are 9-18-3 on the road. Buffalo did get a win over Edmonton in their last game, but they have lost six of their last seven games. The Sabres have allowed at least four goals in four of their last five games and their power play is one of the worst in the NHL. Detroit hasn’t had many positive results recently, but they have been outplaying their opponents and I think they will finally break through here. Take the Red Wings to win. 

David Racey's Pick: Red Wings ML

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