Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 11/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the Ottawa Senators meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators prediction.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Seattle Kraken last time out to sit at 9-4-3 this season. After this game, Dallas will head on the road for a game against the Montreal Canadiens.

Stars Win Back-To-Back Games

Mikko Rantanen leads the Stars in scoring with 21 points including 8 goals and a team-high 13 assists while Wyatt Johnston has 20 points with a team-high 10 goals and 10 assists while Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen each have 14 points with 11 assists as well this season. Roope Hintz has 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists and Thomas Harley has 9 points with 8 assists. Tyler Seguin has 7 points with 5 goals and 2 assists and Sam Steel has 7 points with 5 assists. Jake Oettinger has gone 6-3-2 with a 2.99 GAA and an .893 save percentage in goal for Dallas while Casey DeSmith has gone 3-1-1 with a 2.73 GAA and an .897 save percentage so far this season.

Ottawa Senators Recap

The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 4-2 win over Utah last time out to sit at 8-5-3 this season. After this game, the Ottawa Senators will play host to the Boston Bruins at home.

Senators Win Back-To-Back Games

Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 16 points coming on a team-high 8 goals and 8 assists while Drake Batherson has 16 points with 5 goals and a team-high 11 assists. Shane Pinto has 14 points with 8 goals and 6 assists while Dylan Vozens has 12 points with 6 goals and 6 assists. Claude Giroux and Jake Sanderson each have 11 points with 3 goals and 8 assists while Thomas Chabot has 10 points with 2 goals and 8 assists. David Perron and Artem Zub each have 9 points with 2 goals and 7 assists as well this season.

Dallas Stars @ Ottawa Senators Betting Trends: November 11, 2025

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last eight home games against the Stars.
• The Stars have lost each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last seven home games against the Stars.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Senators have won the second period in each of their last five games following a win.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Senators have lost each of their last six Tuesday games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won six of the Stars’ last seven games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last 13 games.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites.
• The Senators have lost the third period in each of their last five games as home favorites against Central Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Senators’ last eight games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the Stars’ last nine night games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight games following a win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in 15 of the Stars’ last 16 games against opponents on a winning streak.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Michael Amadio has scored a goal in each of the Senators’ last four games.
• Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in seven of his last eight appearances against the Stars.
• Jordan Spence has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances in night games.
• Hayden Hodgson has recorded at least four shots in each of his last zero appearances – [longest/equal-longest] active streak in the league.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Mikko Rantanen has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances against the Senators.
• Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four night games.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last five games.
• Wyatt Johnston ranks T1st in the league for Power Play Points (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators rank 32nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (67.39%).
• The Ottawa Senators rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.63).
• The Dallas Stars rank 2nd in the league in power play percentage this season (32.76%).
• The Dallas Stars rank 26th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.55%).

Dallas Stars vs. Ottawa Senators Prediction

I’m on the Senators in this one. I think the Stars are a solid team, but they’ve been involved in some tight games as of late and in all honesty I prefer the Stars when they’re at home. Ottawa has started to pick it up again and they’re at home where they’ve been at their best for the better part of the last couple of years. Give me Ottawa in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Ottawa -115