Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction 4/4/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars meet Saturday in NHL action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars Prediction. This article will include a Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars Pick.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche lost to the Canucks, beat the Flames and will play the Blues next. The Avalanche have won 5 of their last 7 games.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 3.78 goals per game and are scoring on 17.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 50 goals, Martin Necas has 57 assists, and Cale Makar has 192 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.53 goals per game and are killing 83.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Scott Wedgewood has given up 84 goals on 1,004 shots faced, and Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed 82 goals on 815 shots.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars lost to the Bruins, beat the Jets, and play the Flames next. The Stars have lost 6 of their last 8 games.

The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 29.1 percent of their power play opportunities. Wyatt Johnston leads Dallas with 41 goals, Mikko Rantanen has 53 assists, and Jason Robertson has 274 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.7 goals per game and are killing 80.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 128 goals on 1,275 shots faced, while Casey DeSmith has given up 65 goals on 712 shots.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won each of their last three games as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Avalanche have lost two of their last three games as favorites.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost the third period in three of their last four games at American Airlines Center.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last six day games following a loss.
• The Stars have lost six of their last seven day games following a win.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in 12 of their last 13 day games following a home win.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Stars have lost the second period in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Avalanche’s last six day games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight day games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Stars’ last eight games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last six day games at American Airlines Center.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last five games as favorites.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Wyatt Johnston has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six games at American Airlines Center.
• Mikko Rantanen has recorded an assist in each of his last six appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Thomas Harley has recorded two assists against the Avalanche this season—equal to the most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Martin Necas has scored at least one goal in nine of the Avalanche’s last 10 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight road appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for multi-goal games (14) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Dallas Stars rank T8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.33).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.49%).
• The Colorado Avalanche are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars Prediction

The Avalanche should be favored, as the Stars have had a rough couple of weeks. However, the Stars have been one of the best teams in the league this season and it’s easy to overlook this recent stretch. The Stars have won 6 of the last 9 games against the Avs, which includes a shootout win a couple of weeks ago. The last three meetings have made it past regulation so expect another close game. I want the more favorable price in my pocket. Give me the Stars.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Dallas Stars