Bruins vs Lightning Prediction 4/4/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Bruins vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 4th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 43-25-8 this season after they lost to the Panthers by a score of 2-1 in their last game. Boston cut the deficit to 2-1 late in the first period, but they couldn’t find anymore offense in the low scoring loss. The Bruins out shot Florida by a total of 29-24, won 63.3% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Boston got their lone goal from Minten, while Swayman stopped 22 out of 24 shots, which was a .917 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston defeated the Stars by a score of 6-3 and the Blue Jackets by a score of 4-3. The Bruins have won four of their last five games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 94 points. Boston has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 3.05 goals against per game, while also going 23.8% on the power play and 76.3% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 29 goals and 67 assists, while Morgan Geekie has added 34 goals and 29 assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 30-16-4 with a 2.71 goals against average and a .908 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 47-22-6 this year after they defeated the Penguins by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay trailed 2-1 after the first period, but they scored the next five goals to pull away with the victory. The Lightning out shot Pittsburgh by a total of 33-24, won 39.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Cirelli (3), Girgensons, Kucherov, and Point, while Vasilevskiy stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Canadiens by a score of 4-1, but did beat the Predators by a score of 3-2 before that. The Lightning have won three of their last four games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 100 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.60 goals per game and they have allowed 2.77 goals against per game, while also going 21.8% on the power play and 82.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 41 goals and 83 assists, while Jake Guentzel has added 36 goals and 47 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 36-13-4 with a 2.34 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Bruins have lost four of their last five games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have won each of their last four night games against the Bruins following a home win.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Bruins have lost the third period in each of their last five games as underdogs at Benchmark International Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Lightning have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four home games following a win.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in four of their last five games as favorites when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Bruins’ last six games at Benchmark International Arena following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between the Bruins and Lightning at Benchmark International Arena have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last three games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 10 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last four games as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored a goal in five of the Lightning’s last six home games.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Lightning as favorites.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Pavel Zacha has scored at least one goal in four of the Bruins’ last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last six road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup after having their winning streak snapped last time out, but they are firmly in the first wild card spot as of now. The Bruins are 15-15-7 on the road this year, while the Lightning are 24-13-1 at home. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games and they are battling Buffalo for the first spot in the Atlantic. The Lightning have been great on both ends of the ice and Vasilevskiy is playing at an elite level. Take Tampa Bay -1.5 here, as they continue to roll at home.

David Racey's Pick: Lightning -1.5