Nov 5, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs center Auston Matthews (34) battles for the puck with Utah Mammoth center Nick Schmaltz (8) during the first period at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images
Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 11/8/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Bruins Boston Maple Leafs Toronto
Team Records 9-7-0 8-5-1
Spread +1.5 -166 -1.5 140
Moneyline +160 -192
Total Over 6.5 (110) Under 6.5 (-130)
Where Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
When Saturday, November 8, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

The Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Saturday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Boston Bruins Recap

The Boston Bruins come into this game looking to build on their 3-2 OT win over the Ottawa Senators last time out to sit at 9-7 on the year. After this game, Boston will head home for the rematch of the home-and-home against the Leafs before facing off against the Ottawa Senators on the road.

Bruins Win 5 In A Row

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 18 points including 7 goals and 11 assists while Morgan Geekie has 13 points with 10 goals and 3 assists and Pavel Zacha has 14 points with 4 goals and 10 assists. Elias Lindholm has 9 points with 4 goals and 5 assists while Charlie McAvoy has a team-high 12 assists. Casey Mittelstadt’s also chipped in 9 points of his own with 4 goals and 5 assists on the year. Jeremy Swayman’s gone 5-4 with a 3.10 GAA and an .897 save percentage in goal for the Bruins while Joonas Korpisalo is 4-3 with a 3.24 GAA and an .885 save percentage so far this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to their 5-3 win over Utah last time out to sit at 8-5-1 this season. After this game, Toronto will take on Carolina at home before the second half of the home-and-home with the Bruins.

Maple Leafs Win 3 Straight & 5 Of Last 6

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 20 points on 6 goals and a team-high 14 assists while John Tavares has 18 points with 7 goals and 11 assists and Matthew Knies has 18 points with 5 goals and 13 assists. Auston Matthews has 12 points with a team-high 8 goals and 4 assists and Morgan Rielly has 10 points with 8 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 9 points with 8 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-4-1 with a 3.11 GAA and an .895 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Cayden Primeau is 2-1 with a 4.30 GAA and an .838 save percentage this season.

Boston Bruins @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: November 8, 2025

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Bruins have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following a win.
  • The Maple Leafs have won eight of their last nine home games following a home win.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Bruins and Maple Leafs.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena following a home win.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in eight of their last nine road games following a home win.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the Bruins’ last eight games.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in each of their last four games following a win.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Bruins’ last eight games against the Maple Leafs following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the last six games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last seven night games at Scotiabank Arena against opponents on a winning streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last three games.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 appearances in night games.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Bruins’ last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • Morgan Geekie has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 2nd in the league for goals per game this season (3.71).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (11.76%).
  • The Boston Bruins have recorded the equal-most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (6).
  • The Boston Bruins have suffered the equal-largest margin of defeat in a road game this season (5-goals @ Senators on October, 27).

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs in this one. I just think that while both teams are hot right now, both also play their best hockey at home which clearly works better for Toronto in this situation. I think the Maple Leafs can find a way to get it done on home ice and extend their head-to-head win streak over Boston. Give me the Leafs in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -175

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