Avalanche vs Stars Prediction 10/13/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate an Avalanche vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, October 13th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche are 3-2-0 this season after they lost to the Maple Leafs by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Colorado led 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed the last four goals for the loss. The Avalanche out shot Toronto by a total of 33-23, won 53.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-5 on the power play in the game. Colorado was led by Nathan MacKinnon, who had two goals and eight shots, while Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 out of 22 shots in the loss.

Prior to that game, Colorado defeated the Flames by a score of 7-3, but lost to the Jets by a score of 3-2 before that. The Avalanche have scored 5.20 goals per game and they have allowed 3.40 goals against per game, while also going 22.2% on the power play and 85.7% on the penalty kill this season. Nathan MacKinnon has led the team with five goals and five assists, while Mackenzie Blackwood is 2-2-0 with a 3.30 goals against average and an .867 save percentage this season.

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 2-2-1 this year after they lost to the Penguins by a score of 2-1 in a shootout in their last game. Dallas tied the game at one with 30 seconds left in regulation, but couldn’t find the win in overtime or the shootout. The Stars out shot Pittsburgh by a total of 25-21, won 44.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas was led by Tyler Seguin, who had one goal, while Jake Oettinger stopped 20 out of 21 shots in the game.

Prior to that loss, Dallas defeated the Sabres by a score of 4-0 and the Sharks by a score of 5-0. The Stars have scored 2.20 goals per game and they have allowed 1.40 goals against per game, while also going 7.7% on the power play and 88.2% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led the team with two goals and four assists, while Jake Oettinger is 2-1-1 with a 0.74 goals against average and a .963 save percentage this year.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Avalanche have lost six of their last nine games as favorites.
• The Stars have won four of their last six games as underdogs after coming off overtime.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last five games as home underdogs after coming off a shootout.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six night games at American Airlines Center.
• The Avalanche have lost the second period in three of their last four games at American Airlines Center when trailing after the first period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Stars have lost each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have won six of their last seven road games following a home loss.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 night games at American Airlines Center after coming off overtime.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in four of their last five games at American Airlines Center following a home loss.
• The Stars have lost the third period in each of their last four games as underdogs when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Ten of the Avalanche’s last 11 games as road favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four night games between the Avalanche and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Eight of the last 10 games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Stars’ last six games after coming off overtime.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Avalanche’s last five games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in seven of the Stars’ last eight games at American Airlines Center.
• Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in each of the Avalanche’s last six games at American Airlines Center.
• Fedor Svechkov has recorded an assist in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against Western Conference opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Dallas Stars rank T26th in the league for goals per game this season (2.20).
• The Dallas Stars rank 1st in the league in save percentage this season (.954).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 31st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (2).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank T3rd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.40).

Avalanche vs Stars Prediction

Dallas comes into this matchup after winning two of their last three games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in four straight. The Stars are 1-1-0 at home this year, while the Avalanche are 1-1-0 on the road. Colorado has dropped two of their last three, but they have scored 6+ goals in three of their last five. The Avalanche have a high-powered offensive attack, while the Stars are the best defensive team in the NHL right now. It should be a great game, but I will back the Avalanche on the road here.

David Racey's Pick: Avalanche ML