Week 9 NFL Picks Breakdown!

Pick details

November 4, 2024 at 08:30 PM EST

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The NFL action returns with 15 games this week, and here you can check out the Week 9 NFL Picks Breakdown!

Houston Texans vs New York Jets Prediction NFL Picks 10/31/24

Texans at Jets at 8:15 PM ET

The Houston Texans experienced a loss to the Packers but managed to triumph over the Colts. They have recorded a split in their last four games played on the road. C.J. Stroud is performing well, completing 66.5 percent of his passes for a total of 1,948 yards, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. The combination of Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs has yielded 1,063 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Tank Dell has made 24 receptions. The Texans’ rushing attack averages 118.9 yards per game, with Joe Mixon leading the charge with 503 yards and 5 touchdowns.

The New York Jets suffered defeats against both the Steelers and the Patriots. They have now lost their last five games consecutively. Aaron Rodgers has a completion rate of 61.6 percent, accumulating 1,896 passing yards, along with 12 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. The duo of Garrett Wilson and Allen Lazard has amassed a total of 985 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has recorded 33 receptions. The Jets’ rushing offense averages 86.1 yards per game, with Hall leading the team with 428 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns.

The Pick:

The Jets have lost three consecutive games as the favored team and have a dismal record of 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 straight up in their last ten outings. The Houston Texans are grappling with their own set of problems, particularly the injury to Stefon Diggs. Despite this, I am not willing to support the Jets as favorites. I will choose the Texans and the points.

Las Vegas Raiders vs Cincinnati Bengals Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Raiders at Bengals at 1 PM ET

The Las Vegas Raiders enter this matchup seeking to end their current losing streak, having dropped to a record of 2-6 following a 27-20 defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs in their most recent game. Quarterback Gardner Minshew has accumulated 1,377 passing yards, with 6 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, completing 67.6% of his attempts. Meanwhile, Aidan O’Connell has recorded 455 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions, achieving a completion rate of 63.4%. In the rushing department, Alexander Mattison leads the team with 265 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Zamir White has contributed 164 rushing yards. In terms of receiving, Brock Bowers tops the Raiders with 52 receptions for 535 yards and a touchdown, followed by Jakobi Meyers with 325 receiving yards and Tre Tucker, who has amassed 252 receiving yards this season.

The Cincinnati Bengals approach this contest aiming to rebound from a 37-17 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, which has resulted in a 3-5 record for the season. Joe Burrow has thrown for a total of 1,993 yards, achieving 15 touchdowns against 3 interceptions, with a passing accuracy of 70.3%. Leading the rushing attack, Chase Brown has gained 359 yards and scored 4 touchdowns, while Zack Moss has added 242 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. In terms of receiving, Ja’Marr Chase leads the team with 48 catches for 674 yards and 7 touchdowns, while Tee Higgins has contributed 341 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Furthermore, Mike Gesicki has recorded 253 receiving yards, and three additional Bengals have each exceeded 100 receiving yards this season.

The Pick:

The Bengals have demonstrated a strong offensive performance throughout much of the season; however, their defense has been underwhelming for reasons that remain unclear. I anticipate that the Raiders will be able to secure a few touchdowns in this matchup. Conversely, the Raiders’ defense has also struggled and is likely to concede 28 or more points in this game. Therefore, I am inclined to favor the Over, given the presence of two less-than-stellar defensive teams.

Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Commanders at Giants at 1 PM ET

In the recent contest against Chicago, the Commanders built upon a 9-0 lead at halftime to achieve a narrow victory of 18-15. Quarterback Jayden Daniels passed for 326 yards and one touchdown. Terry McLaurin recorded five receptions for 125 yards, while Brian Robinson contributed with 65 rushing yards.

In the matchup against the Steelers on Monday night, the Giants were outscored 17-9 during the second half, ultimately resulting in a 26-18 defeat. Quarterback Daniel Jones recorded 264 passing yards along with one interception. Tyrone Tracy was the standout in the rushing department, accumulating 145 yards and one touchdown on 20 carries, while Darius Slayton contributed with four receptions for 108 yards.

The Pick:

The Commanders’ defense effectively contained the Bears during the previous weekend, allowing only 307 total yards (111 through the air), 15 first downs, and a mere 2-of-12 conversion rate on third downs. In contrast, Washington’s offense amassed 481 yards (313 passing) and achieved 23 first downs, although they struggled with a 5-of-15 performance on third downs. Meanwhile, the Giants faced challenges in their Monday game, committing 11 penalties for 65 yards. Their offense also faltered with two turnovers and a 5-of-15 success rate on third downs. Defensively, New York surrendered 427 total yards (259 passing). The Giants have not exceeded 18 points in any of their last three games, all of which resulted in losses, indicating a pressing need for improvement. Ultimately, it seems unlikely that New York will manage to cover the spread.

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Dolphins at Bills at 1 PM ET

In the matchup against Arizona last weekend, the Dolphins were ahead 20-18 as they entered the final quarter. However, they were outscored 10-7 in the last stretch, resulting in a defeat of 28-27. Tua Tagovailoa amassed 234 passing yards and threw one touchdown pass, while Tyreek Hill led the receiving corps with six receptions for 72 yards.

The Bills faced the Seahawks and showcased their scoring ability by accumulating points in every quarter, leading to a decisive 31-10 victory. Quarterback Josh Allen recorded 283 yards through the air, along with two touchdown passes and one interception. Furthermore, James Cook excelled in the ground game, carrying the ball 17 times for 111 yards and achieving two touchdowns.

The Pick:

In their recent matchup, the Buffalo Bills showcased a strong performance, securing a road victory against the solid Seattle Seahawks. They recorded 445 total yards, with 281 yards coming from passing plays, and achieved 25 first downs while converting 8 of 15 third-down opportunities. Defensively, the Bills managed to force two turnovers, allowing only 233 yards, including 201 passing yards, and limiting the Seahawks to a mere 1 out of 7 on third downs. Nonetheless, the game was characterized by a significant number of penalties, with Buffalo committing 13 of the 24 total infractions. On the other hand, the Miami Dolphins experienced a difficult loss despite generating 377 yards, with 227 of those passing, and converting 11 of 15 third downs against the Cardinals. Having lost their last two games by a combined margin of just seven points, the Dolphins may prove to be competitive against a divisional opponent. In conclusion, I believe the Bills will successfully cover the spread.

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Saints at Panthers at 1 PM ET

After suffering a loss to the Chargers with a score of 26-8, the New Orleans Saints find themselves with a record of 2-6 this season. In the game, the Saints were outgained by the Chargers, totaling 378 yards to their 366. Both teams finished the game with no turnovers, but the Saints faced difficulties on third down, achieving only 2 conversions out of 16 attempts. Spencer Rattler recorded 156 passing yards, while Jake Haener added 122 yards in the defeat.

The Carolina Panthers have a season record of 1-7 after their latest game, in which they were defeated by the Denver Broncos with a score of 28-14. In this contest, the Panthers were outgained by a margin of 400 yards to 284. The turnover count was even at 2-2, and the Panthers converted 5 of their 14 third-down attempts. Bryce Young threw for 224 yards, achieving two touchdowns but also incurring two interceptions, while Chuba Hubbard rushed for 56 yards on 15 carries.

The Pick:

Both teams are entering this matchup with significant challenges this season; however, it appears that Carr will return for New Orleans, which would provide a substantial advantage. The Saints have faced considerable difficulties offensively in three of their last four games, yet they are likely to achieve considerable success against the Carolina defense. The Panthers have also struggled to score this season, and given the uncertainty surrounding their starting quarterback, I must favor the Saints in this away game.

LA Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Chargers at Browns at 1 PM ET

The Los Angeles Chargers currently hold a record of 4-3 following their recent victory over the New Orleans Saints, with a final score of 26-8. In this matchup, the Chargers achieved a total yardage of 378 compared to the Saints’ 366, maintained an even turnover ratio of zero, and converted 3 out of 12 attempts on third down. Quarterback Justin Herbert passed for 279 yards and secured two touchdowns, while Ladd McConkey recorded six receptions for 111 yards and also scored two touchdowns.

As of now, the Cleveland Browns have a season record of 2-6, having secured a win against Baltimore with a final score of 29-24 in their most recent game. The Browns outperformed Baltimore in total yardage, amassing 401 yards to their opponent’s 387. However, they faced a setback in turnovers, finishing the game with a 1-0 deficit. The team successfully converted 8 of their 15 third-down attempts. Jameis Winston recorded 334 passing yards and three touchdown passes, while Nick Chubb rushed for 52 yards on 16 attempts.

The Pick:

The Browns have faced significant challenges offensively with Watson as their quarterback; however, Jameis Winston demonstrated an impressive performance in last week’s victory. While Los Angeles boasts a robust defense, their offensive capabilities are lacking. The Chargers have managed to score 15 points or fewer in three of their last five contests, leading to a lack of confidence in their performance. I recommend backing the Browns for another home victory.

Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Cowboys at Falcons at 1 PM ET

During the last game against the San Francisco 49ers, the team came close to staging a comeback late in the match, but they were unable to clinch the win. The defense surrendered 30 points, leading to a defeat by six points. Dak Prescott recorded 25 completions out of 38 attempts, totaling 243 yards, with two touchdowns and two interceptions. The Cowboys’ offense is currently averaging 21.4 points per game, while their defense is allowing 28.3 points. In terms of league standings, the offense ranks 22nd, while the defense is positioned at 31st.

In their most recent matchup, the Falcons competed against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, securing a victory with a score of 31-26. Kirk Cousins demonstrated exceptional performance, completing 23 out of 29 passes for a total of 276 yards and four touchdowns. Additionally, Kyle Pitts had a standout game, recording four receptions for 91 yards and two touchdowns. Currently, the Falcons are averaging 24.3 points per game, while their defense is allowing 24.4 points. The offensive unit is positioned 12th in the league rankings, whereas the defense holds the 19th position.

The Pick:

Prescott’s ability to move has significantly declined, and he continues to make questionable decisions multiple times per game. The Falcons are averaging 24.3 points and are poised to easily increase their score in this encounter. The Falcons are likely to secure a victory. Supporting the Falcons against the spread is a wise choice in this case.

New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Patriots at Titans at 1 PM ET

The New England Patriots faced the New York Jets and emerged victorious with a score of 25-22. After Drake Maye was injured, Jacoby Brissett took over and performed effectively, completing 15 of his 24 passes for 132 yards, without any touchdowns or interceptions. Rhamondre Stevenson had a strong showing, with 20 carries for 48 yards and two touchdowns. Kayshon Bouttle also contributed with three carries totaling 46 yards. At present, the Patriots average 15.5 points per game, while their defense allows 24.6 points. The offense is ranked 29th in the league, and the defense is positioned 21st in the NFL standings.

In their latest encounter with the Detroit Lions, the defense allowed 52 points, leading to a lopsided loss. Mason Rudolph completed 22 of his 38 attempts, totaling 266 yards, with one touchdown and two interceptions. On the ground, Tony Pollard had a noteworthy performance, rushing 20 times for 94 yards. Furthermore, Calvin Ridley excelled, catching 10 passes for 143 yards. The Titans are currently averaging 17.1 points per game, while their defense surrenders 28 points per game. The offense ranks 28th in the league, and the defense is positioned at 29th.

The Pick:

I do not have significant concerns regarding which player will be starting at quarterback for either team, as both are likely to face challenges. The Titans are currently averaging 17.1 points per game, while the Patriots are averaging 15.5 points. It is anticipated that both teams will encounter difficulties, resulting in the game remaining below the total points line. Go with Under.

Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Broncos at Ravens at 1 PM ET

The Denver Broncos secured victories against both the Saints and the Panthers. They have triumphed in their last three away games. Bo Nix has achieved a completion rate of 63.2 percent, amassing 1,530 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. The duo of Courtland Sutton and Josh Reynolds has contributed a total of 560 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Lil’Jordan Humphrey has recorded 19 receptions. The Broncos’ rushing attack averages 121.4 yards per game, with Javonte Williams leading the team with 345 yards and 2 touchdowns.

The Baltimore Ravens emerged victorious against the Buccaneers but were defeated by the Browns. They have recorded 7 wins in their last 10 home games. Lamar Jackson boasts a completion percentage of 66.9, with 2,099 yards, 17 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions to his name. Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman have combined for 949 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Isaiah Likely has achieved 24 receptions. The Ravens’ rushing offense averages 200 yards per game, led by Derrick Henry, who has gained 946 yards and scored 9 touchdowns.

The Pick:

The Denver Broncos are recognized as one of the top five defensive teams in the league, making it unlikely for the Ravens to capitalize on easy scoring chances. Nix is steadily gaining confidence as a quarterback, increasingly capable of pushing the ball downfield. Furthermore, the Ravens have struggled with a 2-11-1 record against the spread in their past 14 games when favored by seven or more points. Conversely, the Broncos have managed to cover the spread in seven out of their last ten games. This line seems to lack proper respect. I suggest placing your bet on the Broncos and the points.

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Bears at Cardinals at 4:05 PM ET

This season, the Chicago Bears have a record of 4-3 after their loss to Washington, which concluded with a score of 18-15. In this contest, the Bears were outgained by Washington, who amassed 481 yards against the Bears’ 307. Furthermore, the Bears faced a setback in the turnover department, ending the game with a 1-0 deficit, and they were ineffective on third downs, converting just 2 out of 12 opportunities. Caleb Williams recorded 131 passing yards on 10 completions, while D’Andre Swift had a notable performance with 129 rushing yards and one touchdown.

The Arizona Cardinals have achieved a 4-4 record this season after their latest triumph over the Miami Dolphins, winning by a score of 28-27. In this contest, the Cardinals outgained the Dolphins with a total of 389 yards against 377. The turnover count remained even at zero for both teams, and the Cardinals converted 7 of their 13 third-down attempts. Kyler Murray excelled with 307 passing yards and two touchdown passes, while James Conner contributed 53 rushing yards and one touchdown to the team’s efforts.

The Pick:

The Arizona Cardinals have recorded two consecutive wins, with a narrow combined margin of three points, and they have triumphed in three of their last four games. As the Cardinals begin to find their rhythm, they appear to hold a favorable position in this matchup, especially considering that the Chicago Bears are winless in their three road games. I foresee a game with increased scoring, and I believe the Bears’ offense will make a resurgence, so I advise taking the over.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Jaguars at Eagles at 4:05 PM ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars experienced a loss to the Packers but managed to triumph over the Patriots. They are currently enduring a series of six consecutive losses in away games. Trevor Lawrence is completing 62.6 percent of his passes, totaling 1,835 yards, with 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. The combined efforts of Brian Thomas Jr. and Christian Kirk have resulted in 952 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Gabe Davis has made 18 receptions. The Jaguars’ rushing attack averages 120.1 yards per game, with Tank Bigsby at the forefront, having gained 493 yards and scored 4 touchdowns.

The Philadelphia Eagles emerged victorious against both the Giants and the Bengals. They have recorded wins in 7 of their last 10 home games. Jalen Hurts is completing 69.1 percent of his passes, with a total of 1,544 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. The combination of A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith has resulted in 794 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Dallas Goedert has achieved 24 receptions. The Eagles’ ground game is averaging 193.5 yards per game, with Saquon Barkley leading the team with 766 yards and 5 touchdowns.

The Pick:

The Philadelphia Eagles have not performed well against the spread, holding a 0-5 record in their last five games as home favorites of five or more points, prompting me to consider taking the free touchdown. However, the Jaguars continue to face challenges, particularly with Kirk out for the season and Brian Thomas Jr. listed as questionable. The Eagles are beginning to show improvement, having won three straight games as they regain their health. Given the circumstances, the Eagles should have no excuses for underperforming in this matchup. A victory by double digits for the Eagles appears probable, and I will take the touchdown.

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Lions at Packers at 4:25 PM ET

In the Titans game last weekend, the Lions finished the first quarter with a lead of 14-7. Following that, Detroit dominated the match and secured a decisive victory with a score of 52-14. Quarterback Jared Goff recorded 85 passing yards along with three touchdown passes, while Jahmyr Gibbs was the standout in the rushing department, accumulating 127 yards and one touchdown on 11 carries.

Facing Jacksonville on Sunday, the Packers took a 20-17 lead into the last quarter. They continued to perform well and finished the game with a 30-27 win. Jordan Love achieved 196 yards passing, including one interception, while Josh Jacobs led the rushing attack with 127 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries.

The Pick:

Detroit recorded an atypical statistical victory against the Titans in their latest game, with a notable impact from the special teams. The offense was not heavily relied upon, generating only 225 total yards, including just 61 yards passing. The Lions’ defense performed admirably, allowing only 3 out of 11 third-down conversions and achieving four turnovers. Detroit has now scored 20 or more points in five consecutive games, all victories, and has reached 31 or more points in each of the last four outings. Conversely, Green Bay secured a hard-fought road win against the Jaguars, concluding the game with a decisive field goal. The Packers’ defense contributed with two turnovers and limited the Jaguars to one successful third-down conversion out of nine attempts. Despite some offensive inconsistencies, including a 3-of-11 performance on third downs, the overall effort was solid, improving their record to 6-2. This forthcoming game is crucial for the division standings, and I predict that the Lions will take the lead with a win and cover.

LA Rams vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Rams at Seahawks at 4:25 PM ET

The Rams faced off against the Minnesota Vikings last Thursday, achieving a commendable victory with a score of 30-20. Quarterback Matthew Stafford delivered an impressive performance, completing 25 of 34 passes for a total of 279 yards, along with four touchdowns and one interception. Running back Kyren Williams contributed significantly, carrying the ball 23 times for 97 yards. Throughout the current season, the Rams are averaging 20.6 points per game, while their defense is allowing 24.9 points. The offense is currently ranked 23rd in the league, with the defense positioned at 22nd. Kyren Williams is enjoying a standout season, having rushed 139 times for 553 yards and eight touchdowns.

In their most recent matchup against the Buffalo Bills, the performance was disappointing, culminating in a 31-10 defeat. Geno Smith successfully completed 21 out of 29 passes, accumulating 212 yards, with one interception and no touchdowns. A significant concern was that he also led the team in rushing, managing a mere 16 yards. Throughout the season, the Seahawks are averaging 23.75 points per game, while their defense is conceding an average of 24.38 points. The offense is currently positioned 13th in the league, whereas the defense ranks 19th in the NFL.

The Pick:

With his primary offensive targets returning, Matthew Stafford is poised for an impressive outing in this contest. The Seahawks’ defense appears vulnerable and is anticipated to encounter substantial difficulties. Additionally, the Seahawks’ offensive unit is unlikely to match the Rams’ scoring capabilities, leading to a favorable outcome for Los Angeles. It is recommended to back the Rams against the spread.

Indianapolis Colts vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24

Colts at Vikings at 8:20 PM ET

The Indianapolis Colts approach this game with the intention of recovering from their recent 23-20 loss to the Houston Texans, which has left them with a 4-4 record for the season. Anthony Richardson has passed for 958 yards, achieving 4 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, with a completion rate of 44.4%. He has also added 242 rushing yards and one touchdown to his statistics. Joe Flacco has thrown for 716 yards, recording 7 touchdowns and 1 interception, with a completion percentage of 65.7%. Jonathan Taylor leads the rushing attack with 454 yards and 5 touchdowns. In terms of receiving, Alec Pierce is the leader with 394 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Michael Pittman Jr. has 29 receptions for 352 yards and 2 touchdowns, and Josh Downs has 32 receptions totaling 351 yards and 3 touchdowns.

As the Minnesota Vikings prepare for this contest, they seek to rebound from a recent loss that has left them with a 5-2 record, following a 30-20 defeat to the Los Angeles Rams. Sam Darnold has thrown for 1,610 yards, achieving 14 touchdowns against 5 interceptions, with a completion rate of 67.2%. Meanwhile, Aaron Jones has rushed for 501 yards and scored 2 touchdowns. Justin Jefferson stands out as the leading receiver for the Vikings, having made 41 receptions for 646 yards and 5 touchdowns, alongside three other teammates who have each recorded over 200 receiving yards this season.

The Pick:

The Colts have consistently engaged in tightly contested matches throughout this season, and I anticipate that this upcoming game will follow suit, especially as the Vikings aim to recover before embarking on an extended road trip. The Colts have been successful in covering the spread repeatedly this season, and I believe they will secure another cover in this instance. I am backing the Colts along with the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction NFL Picks 11/4/24

Buccaneers at Chiefs at 8:15 PM ET

Following a 31-26 setback against the Atlanta Falcons, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers aim to rebound, bringing their overall record to 4-4. Baker Mayfield has thrown for 2,189 yards, achieving 21 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, with a passing accuracy of 71.1%. Bucky Irving has rushed for 395 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Rachaad White has contributed 256 rushing yards. Chris Godwin, who has the highest receiving yards on the team at 576 and 5 touchdowns, is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an injury. Cade Otton has made 36 receptions for 344 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Mike Evans has recorded 26 catches for 335 yards and leads the team with 6 touchdowns. White has also added 236 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns to his tally.

The Kansas City Chiefs are set to compete in this contest with the intention of building on their previous 27-20 win against Las Vegas, aiming for a flawless 7-0 record this season. Patrick Mahomes has recorded 1,651 yards through the air, with 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, achieving a passing accuracy of 68.4%. On the ground, Kareem Hunt has rushed for 308 yards and found the end zone 4 times. Travis Kelce leads the team in receiving, having secured 38 receptions for a total of 335 yards and one touchdown.

The Pick:

While the loss of Godwin is a significant setback, my overall impression of the Chiefs this season has been less than favorable. Kansas City has frequently allowed teams to stay in contention during their games. The Buccaneers continue to have formidable talent within their ranks, and I am confident they can keep the game competitive. I am backing the Buccaneers and the points.

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