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Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction NFL Picks 11/3/24
Pick details
New York Giants (2-5) vs Washington Commanders (6-2)
November 3, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Giants +3.5 / Washington Commanders -3.5 — Over/Under: 42
The Washington Commanders and the New York Giants meet Sunday in NFL action from MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs New York Giants prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Commanders vs Giants pick. We will examine:
The Washington Commanders’ recent form and player performance
The New York Giants’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Commanders
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Giants
Recent betting trends in games played between the Commanders and Giants
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Commanders vs Giants game
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Commanders lost to the Buccaneers in their opener this year, but then hit a win streak over the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals and Browns. Following another loss to the Ravens 30-23, Washington beat the Panthers and Bears in the next pair.
In the matchup with Chicago last weekend, the Commanders improved on a 9-0 first-half advantage to secure a tight win 18-15. QB Jayden Daniels threw for 326 yards and a TD. Terry McLaurin caught five balls for 125 yards, and Brian Robinson had 65 rush yards.
New York Giants Betting Preview
Over on the Giants’ side, they posted a 1-3 run out of the gate featuring losses to the Vikings, Commanders and Cowboys (with a win over Cleveland). New York would then beat the Seahawks before two more losses to the Bengals and Eagles.
In Monday night’s matchup with the Steelers, the Giants were outscored 17-9 in the second half along the way to a 26-18 loss. QB Daniel Jones logged 264 pass yards with an interception. Tyrone Tracy led the rush with 20 carries for 145 yards and a score, while Darius Slayton had four grabs for 108 yards.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last six games played as underdogs on the East Coast have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Commanders’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Daniel Jones has recorded 205+ passing yards in each of the Giants’ last five games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- Darius Slayton has recorded 26+ receiving yards in eight of the Giants’ last nine games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Darius Slayton has scored a touchdown in three of the Giants’ last four games following a road loss.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Daniel Jones has recorded 32+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances against the Commanders.
- Daniel Jones has recorded 21+ completions in seven of his eight previous November appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 9, Dexter Lawrence II ranks 1st in the NFC for sacks (9.0) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 road appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 24 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 31+ rushing yards in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in six of the Commanders’ last seven games.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 33+ receiving yards in 14 of his 15 previous appearances against the Giants.
- Zach Ertz is just one away from 50 career touchdowns (including playoffs).
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Prediction
I’ll probably stick with Washington. The Commanders defense kept the Bears in check last weekend, giving up 307 total yards (111 passing), 15 first downs and 2-of-12 on third-down tries. Washington gained 481 yards on offense (313 passing) with 23 first downs but went just 5-of-15 on third downs themselves.
As for the Giants, on Monday they played a pretty sloppy game with 11 penalties for 65 yards. The two turnovers and 5-of-15 effort on third downs from the offense wasn’t great either. New York gave up 427 yards total (259 passing) on defense. The Giants haven’t scored more than 18 points in any of the last three games (all losses), so they’ve got to get it moving here. I don’t quite think New York will cover in the end.