Braves vs Brewers Prediction 8/23/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 23rd at Historic Bowman Field in Williamsport, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 75-55 this season after they lost the first two games by scores of 1-2 and 1-4. In game two, Atlanta led 1-0 in the first inning, but went scoreless over the last eight innings for the loss. The Braves recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Harris II, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Perez allowed four hits and one earned run over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Suter threw three innings in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won a makeup game with the White Sox, but lost all three against the Twins before that. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.61 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 610 runs with a .246 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 36 home runs and 77 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 21 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Tyler Mahle, who is 4-10 with a 4.53 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 113.1 innings pitched this season. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 81-49 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-1 on Saturday. Milwaukee scored two runs in the third inning and two more in the fourth in the win. The Brewers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Bauers, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Henderson allowed five hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Ashby picked up the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Mariners and three out of four against the Dodgers. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.42 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .219 opponent batting average, while they have scored 648 runs with a .253 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 23 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 16 home runs and 75 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Shane Drohan, who is 6-4 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 100.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have lost five of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won seven of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the last six games between the Braves and Brewers.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last five games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Brewers’ last four games as favorites against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Braves’ last six Sunday games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Brewers’ last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Shane Drohan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Braves after playing the previous day.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Mahle has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 17 Sunday appearances.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last seven games.
• Tyler Mahle has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Matt Olson ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.539) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (537).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.44).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
• The Braves rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (498).

Braves vs Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee comes into this matchup looking to complete the series sweep and they have won four of their last five games. The Brewers have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last five games and they are leading the NL Central by seven games. Atlanta has lost four of their last five games and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of those five. The Braves are starting Mahle, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Drohan has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last five outings. Take the Braves to win here.

David Racey's Pick: Braves ML