Vikings vs Steelers Prediction 9/28/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Vikings vs Steelers prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 28th at Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup.

Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

The Minnesota Vikings are 2-1 this season after they defeated Cincinnati by a score of 48-10 last week. Minnesota led 14-0 after the first quarter and 34-3 at halftime, before cruising to the blowout victory in the second half. The Vikings out gained Cincinnati by a total of 352-171, went 4-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 5-0 in the game. Carson Wentz went 14-20 for 173 yards and two touchdowns, while Jordan Mason rushed 16 times for 116 yards and two scores. Justin Jefferson led the Minnesota receivers with five catches for 75 yards in the game. The Minnesota defense recorded four sacks and seven tackles for loss in the win. 

Minnesota opened the season with a 27-24 win over Chicago, but lost their second game by a score of 22-6 against Atlanta. The Vikings are averaging 27.0 points per game with 145.7 passing yards and 122.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 18.7 points against per game this season. Carson Wentz has completed 70% of his passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns, while Justin Jefferson has caught 12 passes for 200 yards and one score. Jordan Mason is the leading rusher for Minnesota with 214 yards and two touchdowns on 40 carries this season. 

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-1 this year after they defeated New England by a score of 21-14 in their last game. Pittsburgh led 7-0 after the first quarter and 14-7 at halftime, but needed a score with about two minutes left in the fourth to seal the win. The Steelers were out gained by a total of 369-203, went 4-9 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 5-1 in the game. Aaron Rodgers went 16-23 for 139 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jaylen Warren rushed 18 times for 47 yards. Calvin Austin III was the leading receiver with three catches for 34 yards and one score. The Pittsburgh defense recorded five sacks and six tackles for loss in the win. 

Pittsburgh started the season with a 34-32 win over the Jets, but lost their second game by a score of 31-17 against the Seahawks. Pittsburgh is averaging 24.0 points per game with 184.0 passing yards and 63.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 25.7 points against per game this year. Aaron Rodgers has completed 65.1% of his passes for 586 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions, while DK Metcalf has caught 10 passes for 135 yards and two scores. Jaylen Warren has 132 rushing yards and 142 receiving yards, with one touchdown on the year. 

Why the Vikings will beat the Steelers

The Vikings have won seven of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
The Steelers have lost each of their last five Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs.
The Vikings have covered the spread in five of their last six games against AFC opponents.
The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games as underdogs.
The Vikings have won the first half in each of their last four games against AFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

Five of the Vikings’ last six games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Four of the Steelers’ last five games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

D.K. Metcalf has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances against the Vikings.
Aaron Rodgers has recorded 224+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 Week 4 appearances.
Jonnu Smith has recorded 29+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog.
Aaron Rodgers has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last six Week 4 appearances.
Jonnu Smith has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog.
Heading into Week 4, Aaron Rodgers has recorded the equal-longest passing touchdown in a single game this season (65 yards vs Seattle Seahawks, Week 2).

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

Jordan Addison has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six Sunday appearances with the Vikings as favorites.
Carson Wentz has recorded 225+ passing yards in five of his six previous September appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Carson Wentz has recorded 22+ completions in five of his six previous September appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Cam Akers has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of his seven previous September appearances with his team as a favorite.
Adam Thielen has recorded 25+ receiving yards in 31 of his last 34 appearances following a win.
Cam Akers has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous September appearances with his team as a favorite.
Heading into Week 4, Isaiah Rodgers ranks T2nd in the league for forced fumbles (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 4, the Steelers rank T1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+5) this season.
Steelers – three different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
Heading into Week 4, the Vikings rank 1st in the NFL in forced fumbles (7) this season.
Heading into Week 4, the Vikings rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (5) this season.

Vikings vs Steelers Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with a 2-1 record to start the season and both have some question marks at quarterback. The Vikings are still using Wentz, as McCarthy remains injured, while Pittsburgh has Rodgers, who has been very average through three games. I know Pittsburgh got the win last week, but they were outplayed and benefitted from plenty of New England turnovers. I think you can say something similar for the Vikings, but I have more faith in the Minnesota defense. Take the Vikings here. 

David Racey went 8-0 (100%) in the NFL last week and he is #1 on the NFL leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!