Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 12/1/24

Pick details

Washington Commanders (7-5) vs Tennessee Titans (3-8)

December 1, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Commanders -5.5 / Tennessee Titans +5.5 — Over/Under: 45.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Tennessee Titans and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Titans vs Commanders pick. We will examine:

The Tennessee Titans’ recent form and player performance

The Washington Commanders’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Tennessee Titans

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Commanders

Recent betting trends in games played between the Titans and Commanders

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Titans vs Commanders game

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

Tennessee has had a rough season so far, starting out on a 1-6 run with losses to the Bears, Jets, Packers, Colts, Bills and Lions. Since then the Titans are 2-2 with wins over the Patriots and Texans around losses to the Chargers and Vikings.

In Sunday’s matchup with the Texans, the Titans jumped out to a 20-17 halftime edge but were down going into the fourth. Tennessee closed on a 9-3 run and took the win 32-27, though. QB Will Levis threw for 278 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Tony Pollard added 24 carries for a team-high 119 yards and one TD.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Over on the Commanders’ side, they won six of their first eight games over the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, Browns, Panthers and Bears. Washington beat the Giants on November 3 but they’ve since fallen to the Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys in succession.

Matched up against Dallas last weekend, the Commanders were within one point going into the final quarter. Washington gave up 24 points in that last frame for a 34-26 loss, though. Jayden Daniels logged 275 pass yards with two scores and two interceptions. Terry McLaurin caught five balls for 102 yards and a touchdown.

Why the Washington Commanders Will Win

  • The Titans have lost 13 of their last 14 Sunday road games.
  • The Commanders have won three of their last four games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Titans have lost the first half in five of their last six Week 13 road games.
  • The Titans have lost the first quarter in each of their last three road games in December.

Why the Tennessee Titans will win

  • The Commanders have lost each of their last 10 December games at Northwest Stadium.
  • The underdogs have won each of the Commanders’ last two games at Northwest Stadium.
  • The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at Northwest Stadium following a Division game.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Commanders’ last five Week 13 games.
  • The Titans have won the first half in each of their last four road games following a road win.
  • The Titans have won the first quarter in six of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Commanders’ last six games against AFC opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Titans’ last five games as road underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.

Tennessee Titans vs Washington Commanders Prediction

I’ll stay with the Commanders. Probably not touching this one, though. Washington came within a missed extra point of forcing overtime versus the rival Cowboys on Sunday, but there are plenty of other reasons for the loss. The Commanders had three turnovers, eight penalties, and a rough 4-of-12 success rate on third downs. The final onside kick was returned for a Dallas touchdown. Washington is on a three-game losing streak now, but each defeat has come by eight points or fewer.

As for Tennessee, they had three turnovers and a measly 4-of-14 on third downs in their win over Houston. The Titans’ defense saved them however, holding the Texans to just 260 total yards (220 passing) and 12 first downs alongside two takeaways. The 11 Houston penalties didn’t hurt, either. It was a nice offensive outburst for the Titans after six straight games with 20 points or fewer. Provided the Commanders can get over their loss last weekend and focus, however, I don’t think Tennessee will repeat the scoring onslaught here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Washington Commanders -5.5

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