New Orleans Saints vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 11/30/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The New Orleans Saints and the Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action from Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a Saints vs Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Saints vs Dolphins pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

New Orleans Saints Betting Preview

It’s been a rough year for the Saints so far. New Orleans lost their first four games versus the Cardinals, 49ers, Seahawks and Bills, then took a win over the Giants. Next came four more losses to the Patriots, Bears, Buccaneers and Rams before another win versus the Panthers. Heading into the bye, New Orleans had a 2-8 record across their first 10 outings of the season.

In Sunday’s matchup with the Falcons, the Saints were down 16-7 heading into the final frame. After an 8-3 run from there New Orleans had a loss 24-10. QB Tyler Shough had a 30-of-43 line for 243 yards and an interception while also leading the rush on seven carries for just 22 yards. Chris Olave caught nine balls for 70 yards as the team’s leading receiver in the loss.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

Over on the Miami side, they’ve had some struggles this year as well, but to their credit the team has been better lately. The Dolphins lost to the Colts, Patriots, Bills, Panthers, Chargers and Browns (with a lone win over the lowly Jets) in their first seven games. Since then it’s been a 3-1 run though, with a loss to the Ravens mixed among wins over the Falcons, Bills and Commanders. So far that makes a 4-7 record through 11 games for the Phins.

Back on November 16 in their last outing versus Washington, the Dolphins scored a fourth-quarter touchdown to force overtime. Following a field goal, Miami had a 16-13 win in the end. QB Tua Tagovailoa was 14-of-20 for 171 yards, and De’Von Achane carried 21 times for 120 yards. Jaylen Waddle added three catches for 52 yards as the team’s leading receiver in the victory effort.

New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Dolphins have won 13 of their last 14 November games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• The Saints have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs following a home loss.
• The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Dolphins’ last nine Week 13 games.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games in November.
• The Saints have lost the first half in eight of their last nine Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Dolphins have won the first quarter in six of their last eight games against NFC South opponents.

Why the New Orleans Saints will win

• The Dolphins have lost four of their last five Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The underdogs have won each of the Saints’ last two games.
• The Saints have covered the spread in each of their last nine games in Florida.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Hard Rock Stadium before a Division game.
• The Dolphins have lost the first quarter in six of their last eight games after coming off overtime.
• The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last four home games following an overtime win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Saints’ last seven Sunday games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Dolphins’ last seven games played as favorites on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 224+ passing yards in 19 of his last 21 appearances with the Dolphins as favorites in Florida.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 21+ completions in nine of the Dolphins’ last 10 November games as favorites.
• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last 10 Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 120+ rushing yards in three of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 84+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 84+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Heading into Week 13, Jordyn Brooks has recorded the equal-most solo tackles in a single game this season (15 vs Jets, Week 4).

New Orleans Saints Player Prop Facts

• Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown in each of the Saints’ last three games as road underdogs against teams that held a losing record.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 59+ rushing yards in six of the Saints’ last seven road games against AFC opponents.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 14+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances with the Saints as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Alvin Kamara has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Spencer Rattler has recorded 25+ completions in three of his last four appearances with the Saints as underdogs following a home loss.
• Heading into Week 13, Pete Werner ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 13, the Dolphins rank T30th in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Dolphins rank 3rd in the NFL in average punt return (15.1 yards) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage (34.5%) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Saints have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (6).

Saints vs Dolphins Prediction

I’ll take a stab on the Dolphins but I’m probably not touching this one. There’s not much to get excited about. That said, Miami pulled off a gutsy win in their last outing—even though it was against a struggling Commanders squad. In that matchup the Dolphins posted 311 yards with 19 first downs and went just 3-of-9 on third-down tries. The defense came up with a couple takeaways and allowed 379 yards with 22 first downs. During this current 3-1 stretch, the Dolphins have scored 30 or more points in two of the wins.

As for New Orleans, they’re coming off a pretty listless loss to the Falcons. The Saints had a couple of turnovers in that one with just 3.8 yards per play and 5-of-16 on third-down tries. New Orleans’ defense didn’t do too badly though, giving up just 13 first downs and 3-of-12 on third downs. Still, the Saints haven’t reached 20 points for six straight games (a 1-5 run) so I’m not jazzed about their chances here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Miami Dolphins -6