New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction 9/14/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction. This article will include a New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Pick.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots lost to the Raiders, and play the Steelers and Panthers next. The New England Patriots have lost 14 of their last 17 games. Drake Maye is completing 65.2 percent of his passes for 287 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kayshon Boutte and Hunter Henry have combined for 169 receiving yards on 10 catches, while Stefon Diggs has 6 receptions.

The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 60 yards per contest, and TreVeyon Henderson leads the way with 27 yards on 5 carries. Defensively, New England is allowing 20 points and 389 yards per game. Christian Elliss leads the New England Patriots with 8 tackles, Harold Landry III has 2.5 sacks and Jaylinn Hawkins has 1 interception.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins lost to the Colts, and they play the Bills and Jets next. The Dolphins have split their last 8 games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 60.9 percent of his passes for 114 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 70 receiving yards on 8 catches, while Tanner Conner has 2 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 78 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 55 yards on 7 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 33 points and 418 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 14 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 1 sack and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 pass deflection.

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends: Week 2

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Patriots have lost 15 of their last 16 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The home team has won eight of the Dolphins’ last nine games.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against the Patriots.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine September games as underdogs.
• The Patriots have lost the first half in each of their last four games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• The Dolphins have won the first quarter in four of their last five games at Hard Rock Stadium.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won 12 of their last 13 games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
• The Dolphins have lost eight of their last nine Week 2 games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four September games against AFC opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Dolphins’ last four Week 2 games.
• The Dolphins have lost the first half in each of their last six Week 2 games at Hard Rock Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Dolphins’ last seven Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last six September road games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last seven Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 249+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances against the Patriots.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Dolphins’ last five games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
• Jaylen Waddle has recorded 99+ receiving yards in four of his last five home appearances against AFC East opponents.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 28+ completions in each of the Dolphins’ last four games as home favorites.
• Heading into Week 2, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Colts, Week 1).

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Austin Hooper has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Joshua Dobbs has scored a touchdown in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances in Florida.
• Drake Maye has recorded 26+ rushing yards in six of the Patriots’ last seven games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 2, Drake Maye has recorded the equal-most pass attempts in a single game this season (46 vs Raiders, Week 1).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 2, the Dolphins rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in time of possession against per game (38:43) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down percentage (100.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 2, the Patriots rank T1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (100.0) this season.

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins Prediction

The Dolphins are the more talented team so they’re going to be favored at home, but there’s no way I’m backing this team after week 1. It’s one week, I get it. However, the Dolphins looked completely unprepared on both sides of the ball to the point I’m surprised guys haven’t been fired yet. The Dolphins couldn’t get anything going offensively, Tua looks off, and the defense made Daniel Jones look like Dan Marino.

We knew the Dolphins had secondary issues heading into the season, but the front seven was supposed to be a strength. The Dolphins got little pressure. If that’s going to be the case all year, Miami will finish with the worst record in the league. Sure, Tua has never lost to the Patriots, and the Dolphins are 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Dolphins should win. I still want nothing to do with this team. It’s Pats and the points or pass.