New England Patriots vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction NFL Picks 10/20/24

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Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5) vs New England Patriots (1-5)

October 20, 2024 at 09:30 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Jacksonville Jaguars -5.5 / New England Patriots +5.5 — Over/Under: 42.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New England Patriots and the Jacksonville Jaguars meet in week 7 NFL action from Wembley Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New England Patriots vs. Jacksonville Jaguars prediction.

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this one looking to bounce back after a 41-21 loss at the hands of the Houston Texans last time out to fall to 1-5 on the year. After this game, New England will head home for a matchup with the New York Jets.

Patriots Trying To Find Positive Vibes Going Forward

Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 696 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an interception on 58.5% passing while Drake Maye has thrown for 265 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 INTs on 58.5% passing this season. Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England on the ground with 356 rushing yards and 3 TDs while Antonio Gibson’s added 226 rushing yards. DeMario Douglas leads the Patriots with 24 receptions for 245 yards while Hunter Henry has 19 grabs for 221 yards. Two more Patriot receivers have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Raekwon McMillan and Jahlani Tavai each have 35 total tackles with Keion White logging a team-high 4 sacks as well on the year. As a unit, New England’s defense has combined for 14 sacks and 3 interceptions so far this season.

Why the New England Patriots will win

  • The Patriots have won 13 of their last 14 Week 7 games against AFC opponents.
  • The Jaguars have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last five Week 7 games against AFC opponents.
  • The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC opponents.

Jacksonville Jaguars Recap

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game looking to rebound from a 35-16 loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears to fall to 1-5 on the year. After this game, Jacksonville will head home for a matchup with the Green Bay Packers.

Jaguars Trying To Salvage Rest Of First Half Of The Season

Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,334 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions on 60.7% passing while Travis Etienne Jr. has 230 rushing yards with 2 touchdowns and Tank Bigsby has 297 rushing yards as well on the year. Brian Thomas Jr. has a team-high 25 grabs for 424 yards and 3 touchdowns while Christian Kirk has 24 receptions of his own for 296 yards. Gabe Davis also has 204 receiving yards and 2 TDs as well on the year. On defense, Montaric Brown has 44 total tackles including 31 solo tackles while Travon Walker has a team-high 5 sacks so far this season. As a unit, Jacksonville’s defense has combined for 14 sacks and an interception this year.

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

  • The Patriots have lost each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Jaguars have won each of their last four October games against AFC opponents.
  • The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Patriots’ last four games.

Patriots vs. Jaguars Prediction

I’m leaning towards New England here. The Patriots were blown out by Houston, and the Jags do have the edge of staying in London for back-to-back games overseas. However, the Jags were also pummeled by Chicago, and I’m not sure that just staying over there makes Jacksonville this heavy of a favorite. New England showed some life with Maye under center, and while the Jags have experience in London, I think that New England can put up a fight and lose this one by 3-4 points. Give me the Pats here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: New England +5.5

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