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Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 11/23/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Minnesota Vikings | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 4-6 | 6-3-1 |
| Spread | +6.5 -110 | -6.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +260 | -325 |
| Total | Over 40.5 (-118) | Under 40.5 (-102) |
| Where | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI | |
| When | Sunday, November 23, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FOX | |
Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
The Minnesota Vikings lost to the Ravens and Bears, and they play the Seahawks next. The Minnesota Vikings have lost 4 of their last 5 games. JJ McCarthy is completing 52.9 percent of his passes for 842 yards, 6 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison have combined for 1,159 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Jalen Nailor has 20 receptions.
The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 103.4 yards per contest, and Jordan Mason leads the way with 489 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 23.2 points and 317.5 yards per game. Eric Wilson leads the Minnesota Vikings with 70 tackles, Jalen Redmond has 4 sacks and Joshua Metellus has 2 interceptions.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers lost to the Eagles, beat the Giants, and they play the Lions next. The Packers have won 4 of their last 6 games. Jordan Love is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,421 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tucker Kraft and Romeo Doubs have combined for 988 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Matthew Goldson has 24 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 113.5 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 648 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 19.6 points and 292.1 yards per game. Quay Walker leads the Green Bay Packers with 84 tackles, Micah Parsons has 8 sacks and Xavier McKinney has 2 interceptions.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won 11 of their last 12 games at Lambeau Field against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Vikings have lost each of their last four games at Lambeau Field following a Division loss.
- The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 12 games against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have covered the spread in four of their last five home games before a Division game.
- The Vikings have won the first quarter in two of their last three games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Packers have won the first half in six of their last seven games at Lambeau Field against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Minnesota Vikings will win
- The Vikings have won each of their last three November games as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
- The Packers have lost each of their last two games as home favorites.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Packers’ last eight games.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in each of their last two games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Vikings have won the first half in four of their last five games in November.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Vikings’ last eight games as road underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last five Week 12 games have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored two touchdowns in three of the Packers’ last four games as favorites against teams that held a losing record.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last nine home games.
- Jordan Love has recorded 228+ passing yards in four of the Packers’ last five games at Lambeau Field as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Dontayvion Wicks has recorded 28+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last five games as home favorites against NFC North opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 87+ rushing yards in five of his six previous November home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Christian Watson has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four games as favorites.
- Jordan Love has recorded 20+ completions in six of the Packers’ last seven November games at Lambeau Field.
- Heading into Week 12, Keisean Nixon ranks T1st in the league for passes defensed (14) this season.
Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts
- T.J. Hockenson has scored a touchdown in each of his last three November appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC North opponents.
- T.J. Hockenson has recorded 34+ receiving yards in nine of his last 10 November appearances against NFC opponents.
- Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Cam Akers has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- J.J. McCarthy has allowed the lowest completion rate of any qualified player (52.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 12, the Packers have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of three points or less this season (3).
- Heading into Week 12, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (11.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Vikings have recorded the largest margin of victory in a home game this season (38-points vs Cincinnati on September 21, 2025).
- Vikings – four different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
The Vikings are watching their season fall apart, and it’s hard to get behind them with the quarterback situation. The Vikings can’t find easy offense and have scored less than 20 points in 3 of their last 4 games. However, let’s not act like the Packers are lighting the world on fire. The Packers scored a combined 26 points against the Panthers and Eagles, and they just let the Giants hang around. The Packers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. The Packers have failed to cover their last 7 games as a favorite of 4 or more points. Give me the Vikings and the points.
