Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Rams vs Falcons Prediction for this NFL Week 17 game on Monday, December 29th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Atlanta Falcons Preview

The Atlanta Falcons have a 6-9 record this season and are sitting third in the NFC South. They are 6-9 ATS, 7-8 in Over/Under and have a 3-4 home record and a 3-5 away record. The Falcons are coming off a 26-19 away win against the Arizona Cardinals and will face the Saints next.

Offensively, the Falcons average 20.5 points per game, ranking 25th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 24 points per game, which is 21st. Atlanta averages 340.5 total yards per game (215.9 passing and 124.7 rushing), while allowing 323.3 total yards per game (128.2 rushing and 195.1 passing).

Michael Penix leads the Falcons with 1982 passing yards with 60.1% completed passes and nine touchdowns. Bijan Robinson leads the team in rushing yards with 1250, while Kyle Pitts has a team-high 80 receptions for 854 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Kaden Elliss has a team-high 98 total tackles (56 of them solo), while James Pearce leads the team in sacks, with 8.5, while Xavier Watts, DeAundre Alford and Jessie Bates III each have two interceptions.

Los Angeles Rams Preview

The Los Angeles Rams have a 11-4 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC West. They are 11-4 ATS, 9-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-2 home record and a 6-2 away record. The Rams are coming off a 37-38 away loss against the Seattle Seahawks and will face the Cardinals next.

Offensively, the Rams average 30.5 points per game, ranking 1st in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 19.9 points per game, which is 6th. Los Angeles averages 396.7 total yards per game (270.5 passing and 126.3 rushing), while allowing 327.1 total yards per game (105.7 rushing and 221.3 passing).

Matthew Stafford leads the Rams with 4179 passing yards with 65.7% completed passes and 40 touchdowns. Kyren Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 1100, while Puka Nacua has a team-high 114 receptions for 1592 receiving yards, and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Nathan Landman has a team-high 123 total tackles (60 of them solo), while Byron Young leads the team in sacks, with 11, while Emmanuel Forbes, Cobie Durant and Kamren Kinchens each have three interceptions.

Los Angeles Rams @ Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends: Week 17

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The Rams have lost each of their last seven Monday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Falcons have won five of their last six Monday games as underdogs.
• The Rams have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 17 road games.
• The Falcons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Monday games as underdogs.
• The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last four games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Falcons have won the first half in each of their last four games against the Rams following a win.
• The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Monday games played on the East Coast.

Why the Los Angeles Rams will win

• The Rams have won each of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Falcons have lost each of their last eight games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
• The Rams have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs before a Division game.
• The Rams have won the first quarter in five of their last six December games against the Falcons.
• The Rams have won the first half in each of their last six Week 17 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Rams have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 13 games against NFC South opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rams’ last six road games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Falcons’ last six Monday games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Falcons’ last eight games following a win.
• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 32+ rushing yards in eight of the Falcons’ last nine games as home underdogs.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 232+ passing yards in seven of his last eight home appearances against NFC West opponents.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 25+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances following a win.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight December appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 17, Drake London has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Patriots, Week 9).

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Stafford has recorded 243+ passing yards in each of the Rams’ last 10 games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Davante Adams has scored two touchdowns in each of the Rams’ last three games against NFC South opponents.
• Tutu Atwell has recorded 17+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rams as favorites following a loss.
• Kyren Williams has recorded 72+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last 13 December games.
• Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last nine December games as favorites.
• Kyren Williams has recorded 56+ rushing yards in each of the Rams’ last 13 December games.
• Matthew Stafford has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last five appearances against the Falcons.
• Heading into Week 17, Matthew Stafford ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (4179) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Falcons – 15 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Heading into Week 17, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.8 yards) this season.
• Rams – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Rams – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Rams vs Falcons Prediction

In this Rams vs Falcons Prediction, the Rams are coming as -8-point road favorites. The Rams have been the better team this season, as they have almost twice as many overall wins as the Falcons, who have been terrible at home, with a 2-5 home record. The Rams are 8-2 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games, while on the flip side, the Falcons are 3-7 in their last 10. The Rams have the best offense in the league and the 6th-best defense, for a +10.6 point differential, compared to the Falcons’ -3.5, so I expect them to get the job done on the road today. Take the Rams and lay the -8 points.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Los Angeles Rams -8