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Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Prediction 11/16/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Green Bay Packers | New York Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 5-3-1 | 2-8 |
| Spread | -7 -112 | +7 -108 |
| Moneyline | -395 | +310 |
| Total | Over 42.5 (-115) | Under 42.5 (-105) |
| Where | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ | |
| When | Sunday, November 16, 2025 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EST | |
| TV | FOX | |
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers lost to the Panthers and Eagles, and they play the Vikings next. The Packers have won 3 of their last 5 games. Jordan Love is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,247 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Tucker Kraft and Romeo Doubs have combined for 945 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Matthew Goldson has 23 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 111.9 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 608 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 19.6 points and 287.2 yards per game. Quay Walker leads the Green Bay Packers with 77 tackles, Rashan Gary has 7.5 sacks and Xavier McKinney has 2 interceptions.
New York Giants Betting Preview
The New York Giants lost to the 49ers and Bears, and they play the Lions next. The New York Giants have lost 4 straight games. Jaxson Dart is completing 62.7 percent of his passes for 1,417 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Wan’Dale Robinson and Darius Slayton have combined for 945 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Theo Johnson has 33 receptions.
The New York Giants ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Cam Skattebo leads the way with 410 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 27.3 points and 383 yards per game. Bobby Okereke leads the New York Giants with 88 tackles, Brian Burns has 11 sacks and Dru Phillips has 2 interceptions.
Why the New York Giants will win
- The Packers have lost eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Giants have won each of their last two games as underdogs against the Packers.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games played as favorites on the East Coast.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in six of the Packers’ last seven games.
- The Giants have won the first half in each of their last two games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
- The Giants have won the first quarter in three of their last four November games against the Packers.
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Giants have lost 14 of their last 15 games against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have won 10 of their last 11 Sunday games against starting rookie QBs.
- The Giants have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 11 home games against NFC opponents.
- The favorites have covered the spread in four of the Packers’ last five games at MetLife Stadium.
- The Giants have lost the first half in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Giants have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games against NFC North opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs against the Packers have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last four games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
New York Giants Player Prop Facts
- Isaiah Hodgins has scored a touchdown in each of his three previous appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NFC North opponents.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 247+ passing yards in five of his six previous November appearances with his team as a home underdog against NFC opponents.
- Tyrone Tracy has recorded 19+ receiving yards in three of the Giants’ last four games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 20+ rushing yards in 10 of his last 11 November appearances against NFC opponents.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last five November appearances as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Devin Singletary has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his four previous Week 11 appearances.
- Heading into Week 11, Brian Burns ranks 1st in the NFC for sacks (11.0) this season.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in each of the Packers’ last three games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has scored two touchdowns in each of the Packers’ last three games as favorites against teams that held a losing record.
- Jordan Love has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of the Packers’ last five games following a home loss.
- Jordan Love has recorded 259+ passing yards in four of the Packers’ last five Sunday games as favorites.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 107+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last three games following a home loss.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 20+ receiving yards in five of his last six November road appearances.
- Jordan Love has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Packers’ last three games.
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last 13 regular season games against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 11, Josh Jacobs ranks 2nd in the NFL in touchdowns (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Giants have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Q1 this season (4).
- Heading into Week 11, the Giants have given up the equal largest lead to win a game this season – 19 points vs Broncos.
- Heading into Week 11, the Packers have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of three points or less this season (3).
- Heading into Week 11, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (11.4) this season.
Green Bay Packers vs New York Giants Prediction
I’m going to grab the free touchdown with the Giants. The Packers are lost offensively right now, which includes scoring a combined 20 points in their last 2 games. The Packers are 3-6 ATS on the season, so you shouldn’t be backing this team anyway. The Giants are losing, but they’ve lost their last 4 games by an average of 8.25 points. They’re competing. This is also the Giants first game since firing head coach Brian Daboll, and we’ve seen many teams in the past get a boost after a coaching change. I’m just not laying a touchdown with a Packers team that can’t score. So, Giants it is.
