Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders Prediction 11/30/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Denver Broncos and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Broncos vs Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Broncos vs Commanders pick. We will examine the recent form and player performances for both teams, as well as the recent betting trends and streaks pertaining to this matchup. As we conclude, we will tie it all together with a summary that produces a sensible pick for a favorable betting outcome in this game.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

Denver stumbled out of the gate this year but since then things have gone quite well. The Broncos beat the Titans ahead of losses to the Colts and Rams. Since then it’s been a win streak however, as Denver has dispatched the Bengals, Eagles, Jets, Giants, Cowboys, Texans, Raiders and Chiefs in the last eight outings. The result so far is a nice 9-2 record across the first 11 games of the year for the Broncos.

Back on November 16 versus the Chiefs, the Broncos gave up points in every quarter but scored nine points in the final frame to seal a tight 22-19 win at home. QB Bo Nix was 24-of-37 for 295 yards, and RJ Harvey led the rush with 30 yards on 11 carries. Troy Franklin was tops among receivers with his four catches for 84 yards in the winning effort for Denver.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Over on the Commanders’ side, they managed to win three of their first five games. Washington took out the Giants, Raiders and Chargers in that time, with losses otherwise versus the Packers and Falcons. Since then it’s been a six-game losing streak however. The Commanders have fallen to the Bears, Cowboys, Chiefs, Seahawks, Lions and Dolphins during that time, giving the team a rough 3-8 run through 11 games so far.

In their last outing on November 16 against the Dolphins, the Commanders gave up a fourth-quarter touchdown and an overtime field goal in a tough loss on the road 16-13. QB Marcus Mariota was 20-of-30 for 213 yards, one TD and one pick, while lead rusher Chris Rodriguez had 15 carries for 79 yards. Deebo Samuel added seven receptions for 74 yards and a touchdown as well.

Denver Broncos @ Washington Commanders Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Broncos have lost each of their last five games as road favorites before a Division game.
• The home team has won seven of the Broncos’ last eight Week 13 games.
• The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites before a Division game.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in four of their last five games against AFC West opponents.
• The Commanders have won the first half in four of their last five home games against AFC West opponents.
• The home team has won the first quarter in three of the Broncos’ last four games.

Why the Denver Broncos will win

• The Broncos have won each of their last seven games against NFC opponents.
• The Commanders have lost each of their last six games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Commanders’ last five games.
• The Broncos have won the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games against the Commanders.
• The Broncos have won the first half in four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Commanders’ last nine Sunday games at Northwest Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Broncos’ last five games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Marcus Mariota has recorded 207+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances as a starter.
• Zach Ertz has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his four previous November appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his eight previous appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five Sunday appearances with the Commanders as underdogs.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 51+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances at Northwest Stadium.
• Heading into Week 13, Mike Sainristil ranks T7th in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts

• Bo Nix has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Evan Engram has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 28+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four appearances with the Broncos as favorites.
• Troy Franklin has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Broncos’ last five games as favorites following a win.
• Marvin Mims Jr. has recorded 13+ rushing yards in three of his last four appearances with the Broncos as favorites.
• Bo Nix has recorded 24+ completions in three of the Broncos’ last four road games against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 13, Bo Nix ranks 1st amongst qualified players for sack percentage (3.0%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Commanders – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Commanders have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 15+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 13, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (33.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in red zone percentage against (35.7%) this season.

Broncos vs Commanders Prediction

I’ll stay with the Broncos. Both teams have had an extra week to rest and prepare for this one, so we should see the best of each. Denver is looking good with that nice win streak, but they’ve been getting through by the skin of their proverbial teeth lately. In the KC win, the Broncos had 342 yards with just 16 first downs and 10 penalties for 147 yards in a sloppy game. The defense was pretty good though, giving up just 5-of-13 on third downs and 19 first downs total. Denver’s last three wins have each come by just three points, and they’ve scored fewer than 23 points in each of those as well.

As for Washington, they gave away the game late in their last appearance versus the Dolphins, posting a spotty 6-of-13 on third downs with a couple of turnovers. Similarly the defense was good though, giving up just 3-of-9 on third downs and 19 first downs total. Washington has been below 25 points in six straight (all losses) so it’s tough to imagine a big total from them here.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Denver Broncos -6.5