Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 10/18/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Cowboys vs Packers Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 18th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Green Bay Packers Preview

The Green Bay Packers have a 3-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the NFC North. They are coming off a 31-7 home win against the Bears and will face the Lions, the Panthers and the Patriots next.

Offensively, the Packers average 20.8 points per game, ranking 24th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.4 points per game, which is 14th. Green Bay averages 331.4 total yards per game (271 passing and 60.4 rushing), while allowing 308.6 total yards per game (127.6 rushing and 181 passing).

Jordan Love leads the Packers with 1408 passing yards with 60.5% completed passes and ten touchdowns. MarShawn Lloyd leads the team in rushing yards with 112, while Christian Watson has 26 receptions for a team-high 474 receiving yards. Defensively, Evan Williams has a team-high 46 total tackles (27 of them solo), while Edgerrin Cooper and Lukas Van Ness lead the team in sacks, with 3 each.

Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys have a 2-3 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the NFC East. They are coming off a 16-24 home loss against the Buccaneers and will face the Eagles, the Cardinals and the Colts next.

Offensively, the Cowboys average 27.6 points per game, ranking 7th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 27.2 points per game, which is 25th. Dallas averages 351.2 total yards per game (269.6 passing and 81.6 rushing), while allowing 395.4 total yards per game (116.8 rushing and 278.6 passing).

Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys with 1381 passing yards with 67.2% completed passes and nine touchdowns. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 276, while CeeDee Lamb has 39 receptions for a team-high 507 receiving yards. Defensively, Dee Winters has a team-high 35 total tackles (23 of them solo).

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 6

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won each of their last nine games in October.
• The Cowboys have lost seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games without DaRon Bland.
• The Packers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday night games at Lambeau Field.
• The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games.
• The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last seven Sunday night games.
• The Packers have won the first half in seven of their last eight Sunday night games at Lambeau Field.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Cowboys and Packers.
• The Packers have lost each of their last three games as favorites without MarShawn Lloyd.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Cowboys and Packers.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games without MarShawn Lloyd.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against NFC opponents.
• The Cowboys have won the first quarter in four of their last five games against NFC opponents.
• The Packers have lost the first half in each of their last five Week 6 games against NFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Cowboys and Packers have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last six Sunday games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last five Sunday night games have gone OVER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Watson has scored the first touchdown in four of the Packers’ last five games against NFC opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 22+ completions in four of his last five appearances with the Packers as favorites.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• Josh Jacobs has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five regular season appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 21+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances against NFC East opponents.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 172+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 10+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as a favorite following a win.
• Heading into Week 6, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (3) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Javonte Williams has scored the first touchdown in three of the Cowboys’ last four night games.
• Javonte Williams has scored two or more touchdowns in four of the Cowboys’ last five games as road underdogs.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 294+ passing yards in each of his last six appearances in night games against NFC North opponents.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of his last six October appearances against NFC opponents.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 14+ rushing yards in five of the Cowboys’ last six games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Cowboys’ last six games against the Packers.
• Javonte Williams has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Cowboys’ last nine games as underdogs.
• KaVontae Turpin has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last eight games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 6, KaVontae Turpin ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (549) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Packers – five different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Heading into Week 6, the Packers rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (60.4) this season.
• Cowboys – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 6.
• Heading into Week 6, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (168.4) this season.

Cowboys vs Packers Prediction

In this Cowboys vs Packers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -1.5 home favorites. The Packers are 3-1 in their last 4 games and 2-0 ATS in their last two, having a much better defense than the Cowboys, allowing almost 5 points per game less. The Cowboys have a top-10 offense but I don’t trust them on the road with such a bad defense, allowing almost 30 points per game in their last three. On top of that, the Packers have been dominating this matchup, as they are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Cowboys and 5-1 ATS. Take the Packers on the moneyline at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Green Bay Packers ML