Colts vs Jaguars Prediction 11/1/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

Colts vs Jaguars Prediction

Indianapolis comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they are coming off of a terrible offensive performance against the Vikings. The Colts are 1-3 on the road this year, while the Jaguars are 3-1 at home. Jacksonville has won three of their last four games, but they allowed 34 points against the Texans last week. The Jaguars struggled to get stops in their last game, but they have allowed 17 points or fewer in three of their last four. These two teams are trending in two different directions and the Colts are starting to trade some players, so I will take the Jaguars to cover, but I don’t love this big number.

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are 2-5 this season after they lost to the Vikings by a score of 16-10 last week. Indianapolis led 10-6 at halftime, but they were shutout in the second half for another disappointing loss. The Colts were out gained by a total of 275-218, went 8-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Daniel Jones threw for 108 yards and one interception, while Keenan Allen caught three passes for 31 yards. Jonathan Taylor rushed 18 times for 95 yards and one score in the game.

Prior to that loss, Indianapolis lost to the Titans by a score of 26-20 and the Steelers by a score of 34-22. The Colts have scored 22.0 points per game with 180.4 passing yards and 117.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 25.7 points against per game this season. Daniel Jones has thrown for 1,398 yards with four touchdowns and seven interceptions, while Jonathan Taylor has 140 carries for 587 yards and eight scores this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 4-2 this year after they lost to the Texans by a score of 34-31 in their last game. Jacksonville trailed 17-14 at halftime, but they were tied 31-31 in the fourth quarter, before allowing a field goal as time expired for the loss. The Jaguars were out gained by a total of 426-412, went 7-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Trevor Lawrence threw for 306 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Jakobi Meyers caught five passes for 83 yards. Chris Rodriguez Jr rushed 11 times for 55 yards in the loss.

Prior to that game, Jacksonville defeated the Eagles by a score of 19-17 and the Bengals by a score of 22-17. The Jaguars have scored 25.7 points per game with 234.8 passing yards and 112.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 17.3 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,480 yards with 14 touchdowns and four interceptions, while Parker Washington has 26 catches for 416 yards and four scores this year.

Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win

• The Colts have lost each of their last 10 Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.
• The Jaguars have won each of their last six day games at EverBank Stadium following a loss.
• The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last eight day games at EverBank Stadium following a loss.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.
• The Colts have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games at EverBank Stadium following a loss.
• The Colts have lost the first half in each of their last five Sunday games at EverBank Stadium.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Jaguars’ last eight day games at EverBank Stadium following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Colts’ last five Sunday games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.
• Three of the last four day games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

• Brian Thomas has recorded 28+ receiving yards in 11 of his 12 previous appearances in day games against AFC South opponents.
• Bhayshul Tuten has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 15+ rushing yards in five of his last six appearances in day games against the Colts.
• Bhayshul Tuten has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as favorites.
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 245+ passing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last five games at EverBank Stadium as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Trevor Lawrence has recorded 20+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances against the Colts.
• Heading into Week 8, Trevor Lawrence has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs Browns, Week 1).

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances in day games played on the East Coast.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 68+ rushing yards in 10 of the Colts’ last 11 day games against AFC South opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 201+ passing yards in 15 of his last 18 appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jonathan Taylor has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last four Sunday games.
• Keenan Allen has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous appearances against the Jaguars.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 22+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 8, Spencer Shrader ranks 1st in the NFL in made field goals (19) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 8, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (1.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (6.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 8, the Colts have lost three games from a half-time lead this season – equal-most in the league.
• Heading into Week 8, the Colts have lost two games from a three-quarter-time lead this season – equal-most in the league.

David Racey's Pick: Jaguars -10