Cleveland Browns vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction 11/23/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Browns vs Raiders Prediction for this NFL Week 12 game on Sunday, November 23rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders have a 2-8 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC West. They are 3-6-1 ATS, 4-6-0 in Over/Under and have a 1-4 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Raiders are coming off a 16-33 home loss against the Dallas Cowboys and will face the Chargers, Broncos and Eagles next.

Offensively, the Raiders average 15.5 points per game, ranking 30th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.3 points per game, which is 24th. Las Vegas averages 269.0 total yards per game (187.6 passing and 81.4 rushing), while allowing 326.8 total yards per game (107.3 rushing and 219.5 passing).

Geno Smith leads the Raiders with 2082 passing yards with 66.3% completed passes and 12 touchdowns. Ashton Jeanty leads the team in rushing yards with 554, while Tre Tucker has a team-high 38 receptions for 502 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Devin White has a team-high 97 total tackles (54 of them solo), while Maxx Crosby leads the team in sacks, with 6.0, while Isaiah Pola-Mao and Kyu Blu Kelly each have two interceptions.

Cleveland Browns Preview

The Cleveland Browns have a 2-8 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC North. They are 4-6 ATS, 6-4 in Over/Under and have a 2-3 home record and a 0-5 away record. The Browns are coming off a 16-23 home loss against the Baltimore Ravens and will face the 49ers, Titans and Bears next.

Offensively, the Browns average 16.2 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.4 points per game, which is 18th. Cleveland averages 257.3 total yards per game (159.3 passing and 98.0 rushing), while allowing 273.5 total yards per game (106.5 rushing and 167.0 passing).

Dillon Gabriel leads the Browns with 937 passing yards with 59.2% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 620, while Harold Fannin has a team-high 44 receptions for 422 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 85 total tackles (38 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 15.0, while Ronnie Hickman and Carson Schwesinger each have two interceptions.

Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last 17 interstate games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Raiders have won each of their last five games against the Browns.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 road games.
• The Raiders have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a loss.
• The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last eight games as road underdogs.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last four road games against teams that held a losing record.

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Raiders have lost each of their last nine games in November.
• The underdogs have won four of the Raiders’ last six Week 12 games.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Raiders’ last four Week 12 games.
• The Browns have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games.
• The underdogs have won the first half in five of the Raiders’ last six Week 12 games.
• The Raiders have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games as favorites following a home loss.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Browns’ last eight Week 12 games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Raiders’ last four home games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
• Nine of the last 12 Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Lockett has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC North opponents.
• Geno Smith has recorded 10+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
• Tyler Lockett has recorded 33+ receiving yards in each of his last seven November appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Geno Smith has recorded 238+ passing yards in each of his last four November home appearances.
• Raheem Mostert has recorded 79+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Aidan O’Connell has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 12, Brock Bowers has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Jaguars, Week 9).

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Jerry Jeudy has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances against the Raiders.
• Deshaun Watson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC West opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 27+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 24+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Heading into Week 12, Quinshon Judkins has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Dolphins, Week 7).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 12, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most losses when leading after Q1 this season (5).
• Heading into Week 12, the Raiders have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 15+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (167.0) this season.
• Heading into Week 12, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in 1st downs against (158) this season.

Browns vs Raiders Prediction

The Raiders have won their last 5 meetings against the Browns and under is 7-2 in their last 9 meetings. In this Browns vs Raiders Prediction, the Raiders are coming as -4-point home favorites. Both teams have identical overall records with just two wins this season but the Browns have been winless on the road. Both teams also struggle to cover the spread, as they are 4-6 and 3-6-1 ATS this season, so I see no value on either side. Both teams have the two worst offenses in the NFL this season, scoring just 31.7 points per game combined. With the total set at 36 points, I will go under that number.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 36