Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction 11/27/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chiefs vs Cowboys prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, November 27th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs are 6-5 this season after they defeated Indianapolis by a score of 23-20 in overtime. Kansas City trailed 14-9 at halftime and 20-9 in the fourth quarter, but they managed to force overtime, get a stop, and pickup the win. The Chiefs out gained Indianapolis by a total of 494-255, went 7-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Patrick Mahomes went 29-46 for 352 yards and one interception, while Kareem Hunt rushed 30 times for 104 yards and one score. Rashee Rice led the receivers with eight receptions for 141 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Kansas City lost to the Broncos by a score of 22-19 and the Bills by a score of 28-21. The Chiefs have lost two of their last three games and they are currently third in the AFC West standings. Kansas City has scored 25.2 points per game with 257.7 passing yards and 118.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.3 points against per game this season. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 2,977 yards, 18 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Travis Kelce has 54 catches for 674 yards and four scores this season. 

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys are 5-5-1 this year after they defeated Philadelphia by a score of 24-21 in their last game. Dallas trailed 21-0 in the second quarter, but they scored the last 24 points to escape with an incredible win. The Cowboys out gained Philadelphia by a total of 473-339, went 5-12 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Dak Prescott went 23-36 for 354 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Javonte Williams rushed 20 times for 87 yards. George Pickens led the receivers with nine catches for 146 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Raiders by a score of 33-16, but lost to the Cardinals by a score of 27-17 before that. The Cowboys have split their last four games and they are currently second in the NFC East standings. Dallas has scored 29.1 points per game with 266.8 passing yards and 120.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 28.5 points against per game this season. Dak Prescott has thrown for 2,941 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while George Pickens has 67 receptions for 1,054 yards and eight touchdowns this year. 

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Cowboys have lost nine of their last 10 November games against AFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have won eight of their last nine games after coming off overtime.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games following a home win.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in four of their last five games after coming off overtime.
• The Chiefs have won the first quarter in eight of their last 10 games after coming off overtime.
• The Cowboys have lost the first half in each of their last four games as underdogs following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Cowboys’ last six Thursday games at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• Jalen Tolbert has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances with the Cowboys as underdogs following a win.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• CeeDee Lamb has recorded 85+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six games at AT&T Stadium with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 261+ passing yards in seven of his last eight November appearances at AT&T Stadium.
• Javonte Williams has recorded 83+ rushing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last five home games.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in five of his last six home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Shemar James has 44 tackles through his first five career games – most by any player since Devin Lloyd, (2022).

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a road favorite in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Marquise Brown has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of his eight previous road appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 44+ rushing yards in eight of his nine previous appearances with his team as a favorite in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Marquise Brown has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his eight previous road appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Heading into Week 13, Harrison Butker ranks T6th in the NFL in made field goals (21) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 13, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in punt return yards per game (7.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage against (49.3%) this season.
• Heading into Week 13, the Chiefs have recorded the most home wins by a margin of 10+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 13, the Chiefs have recorded the equal-most home wins by a margin of 15+ points this season (3).

Chiefs vs Cowboys Prediction 

Dallas comes into this contest after getting a very nice win over the Eagles last week and they will look to make it three in a row here. The Cowboys have scored at least 24 points in four of their last five games, but their defense is one of the worst in the NFL. Kansas City snapped their two game losing streak with a win over the Colts in overtime, but their offense has not looked the same over the last few weeks. I do think KC can bounce back offensively against this Dallas defense and I think we will see plenty of scoring from each side, but I am taking the better defensive team to cover. Take the Chiefs here.

David Racey is 70-48 (60%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #2 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Chiefs -3.5