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Bears vs Raiders Prediction 9/28/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
Chicago (1-2) vs Las Vegas (1-2)
September 28, 2025 at 04:25 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Las Vegas +1.5 — Over/Under: +47.5
In this article we will formulate a Bears vs Raiders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 28th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup.
The Bears started the season with a 27-24 loss to Minnesota and a 52-21 loss to Detroit in their first two games. Chicago is averaging 25.3 points per game with 233.7 passing yards and 113.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 31.0 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 63.4% of his passes for 715 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception, while Rome Odunze has caught 16 passes for 227 yards and four scores. D’Andre Swift is the leading rusher for the Bears with 149 yards and one touchdown on 42 carries this season.
Las Vegas started the season with a 20-13 win over the Patriots, but lost their second game by a score of 20-9 against the Chargers. The Raiders are averaging 17.7 points per game with 248.0 passing yards and 72.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 24.7 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has completed 63.2% of his passes for 831 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Jakobi Meyers has caught 17 passes for 228 yards. Ashton Jeanty has led the ground game with 144 yards and one touchdown on 47 carries this year.
The home team has won eight of the Bears’ last 10 Week 4 games.
The Bears have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Bears’ last 10 Week 4 games.
The Raiders have won the first quarter in four of their last five Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
The home team has won the first half in each of the Bears’ last four Week 4 games.
The road team has won four of the Raiders’ last five games.
The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six September games at Allegiant Stadium.
The Bears have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Raiders.
The Bears have won the first half in three of their last four games against the Raiders.
Each of the Bears’ last four road games following a win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of the Raiders’ last six home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Geno Smith has recorded 254+ passing yards in five of his last six home appearances against NFC opponents.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 15+ receiving yards in four of his last five appearances following a loss.
Heading into Week 4, Tre Tucker ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last five September road games.
D’Andre Swift has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games following a win.
Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last five September road games.
Heading into Week 4, Rome Odunze ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (4) this season.
Raiders – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
Heading into Week 4, the Bears rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (9.3) this season.
Heading into Week 4, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-7.0).
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Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears are 1-2 this season after they defeated Dallas by a score of 31-14 in their last game. Chicago led 14-3 after the first quarter and 24-14 at the half, before pitching a shutout in the second half for the victory. The Bears were out gained by a total of 396-385, went 8-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 4-0 in the game. Caleb Williams went 19-28 for 298 yards and four touchdowns, while D’Andre Swift rushed 13 times for 33 yards. Luther Burden III was the leading receiver with three catches for 101 yards and one score in the win. The Chicago defense recorded two sacks and two tackles for loss in the game.The Bears started the season with a 27-24 loss to Minnesota and a 52-21 loss to Detroit in their first two games. Chicago is averaging 25.3 points per game with 233.7 passing yards and 113.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 31.0 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 63.4% of his passes for 715 yards, seven touchdowns, and one interception, while Rome Odunze has caught 16 passes for 227 yards and four scores. D’Andre Swift is the leading rusher for the Bears with 149 yards and one touchdown on 42 carries this season.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders are 1-2 this year after they lost to Washington by a score of 41-24 last week. Las Vegas trailed 7-3 after the first quarter and 20-10 at halftime, before allowing 21 more points in the second half in the loss. The Raiders were out gained by a total of 400-354, went 3-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Geno Smith went 19-29 for 289 yards and three touchdowns, while Ashton Jeanty rushed 17 times for 63 yards. Tre Tucker led the receivers with eight catches for 145 yards and three touchdowns in the loss. The LV defense recorded one sack and six tackles for loss in the game.Las Vegas started the season with a 20-13 win over the Patriots, but lost their second game by a score of 20-9 against the Chargers. The Raiders are averaging 17.7 points per game with 248.0 passing yards and 72.3 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 24.7 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has completed 63.2% of his passes for 831 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Jakobi Meyers has caught 17 passes for 228 yards. Ashton Jeanty has led the ground game with 144 yards and one touchdown on 47 carries this year.
Why the Raiders will beat the Bears
The Bears have lost each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.The home team has won eight of the Bears’ last 10 Week 4 games.
The Bears have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
The home team has covered the spread in eight of the Bears’ last 10 Week 4 games.
The Raiders have won the first quarter in four of their last five Week 4 games against NFC opponents.
The home team has won the first half in each of the Bears’ last four Week 4 games.
Why the Bears will beat the Raiders
The Raiders have lost each of their last six games following a road loss.The road team has won four of the Raiders’ last five games.
The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six September games at Allegiant Stadium.
The Bears have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Raiders.
The Bears have won the first half in three of their last four games against the Raiders.
Total Points Facts
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Five of the Raiders’ last six home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
Jakobi Meyers has scored a touchdown in three of his four previous home appearances against NFC North opponents.Geno Smith has recorded 254+ passing yards in five of his last six home appearances against NFC opponents.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 15+ receiving yards in four of his last five appearances following a loss.
Heading into Week 4, Tre Tucker ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (4) this season.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
Rome Odunze has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last three games.Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last five September road games.
D’Andre Swift has recorded 53+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games following a win.
Cole Kmet has recorded 22+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last five September road games.
Heading into Week 4, Rome Odunze ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Raiders – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.Raiders – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
Heading into Week 4, the Bears rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (9.3) this season.
Heading into Week 4, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in average point differential in fourth quarters this season (-7.0).
Bears vs Raiders Prediction
Chicago finally got in the win column last week against Dallas, but they will be on the road for this matchup. The Bears have had some issues defensively, but they should be able to force some turnovers against Geno Smith. The Raiders have played two very ugly games against the Commanders and Chargers, and they allowed 61 points in those two games combined. I think both of these defenses have plenty of holes and even a bad Raiders offense can take advantage. Take the over in this contest.David Racey went 8-0 (100%) in the NFL last week and he is #1 on the NFL leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!
