Atlanta Falcons vs New York Jets Prediction 11/30/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

The Atlanta Falcons and the New York Jets meet in week 13 NFL action from MetLife Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets prediction.

Atlanta Falcons Recap

The Atlanta Falcons come into this game looking to build on a 24-10 win over New Orleans last time out to sit at 4-7 this season. After this game, Atlanta will head home for a game against the Seattle Seahawks.

Falcons Snap Five-Game Slide

Michael Penix Jr. has thrown for 1,982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 60.1% passing but is out for the season with an injury while Kirk Cousins has thrown for 449 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 64% passing. Bijan Robinson leads the Falcons in rushing with 853 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns and 543 receiving yards out of the backfield. Tyler Allgeier has 324 rushing yards and 7 TDs. Drake London has a team-high 60 catches for 810 yards and 6 touchdowns while Kyle Pitts Sr. has 49 catches for 459 yards and a touchdown. On defense, Kaden EIliss has a team-high 74 total tackles while Xavier Watts has 3 interceptions and Brandon Dorlus has a team-high 6 sacks. Jalon Walker has 5 sacks and Zach Harrison has 4.5 sacks while James Pearce Jr. has 4 sacks as well. As a unit, Atlanta’s defense has combined for 39 sacks and 9 interceptions so far this season.

New York Jets Recap

The New York Jets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 23-10 loss at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens last time out to sit at 2-9 this season. After this game, the Jets will take on the Miami Dolphins at home.

Jets Lose Back-To-Back Games… Again

Justin Fields has thrown for 1,259 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 62.7% passing while also rushing for 383 yards and 4 TDs. Tyrod Taylor has thrown for 601 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 61.9% passing while Breece Hall has a team-high 766 rushing yards and 2 TDs to lead the Jets on the ground. Garrett Wilson leads the Jets in receiving with 36 catches for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns while Mason Taylor has 297 receiving yards andHall has 301 receiving yards as well. Five more Jets have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Jamien Sherwood has a team-high 102 total tackles while the Jets defense as a whole has combined for 19 sacks so far this season.

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 13

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Falcons have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
• The underdogs have won each of the Jets’ last three games at MetLife Stadium.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as road favorites following a road win.
• The Jets have covered the spread in each of their last five Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Jets have won the first half in seven of their last eight November home games against NFC opponents.
• The Falcons have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as road favorites following a road win.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 12 games against NFC South opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Falcons’ last nine Week 13 games.
• The road team has covered the spread in each of the Falcons’ last nine Week 13 games.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six home games against NFC opponents.
• The Jets have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• The road team has won the first half in each of the Falcons’ last six Week 13 games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Falcons’ last eight Week 13 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the Jets’ last six Week 13 home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the last five Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in three of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Breece Hall has recorded 111+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Breece Hall has recorded 29+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last six home games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
• Justin Fields has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a home underdog against NFC opponents.
• Qwan’tez Stiggers has recorded the equal-most defensive targets of any player (2) yet to allow a completion this season.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Kirk Cousins has recorded 205+ passing yards in 13 of his last 14 appearances following a win.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 44+ receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last six games as favorites following a win.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 86+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last four November games as favorites.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 21+ completions in each of his nine previous Week 13 appearances.
• Bijan Robinson has scored a touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Falcons’ last six games as favorites following a win.
• Xavier Watts has two interceptions through his first five career games – most by any player since Tariq Woolen, (2022).

Matchup/League Facts

• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards per game (145.7) this season.
• Falcons – 14 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 13.
• Heading into Week 13, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.3 yards) this season.

Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I just don’t trust either one of these teams offensively, even with both teams changing at QB, one out of necessity because of injury, and one by choice. This just feels like another 24-13 game so give me the under here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Under 39.5