Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction NFL Picks 9/29/24

Houston Texans (2-1) vs Jacksonville Jaguars (0-3)

Game Info: Sunday, September 29, 2024 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: Houston Texans -7 / Jacksonville Jaguars +7 --- Over/Under: 45 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at NRG Stadium. Here’s a Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction. This article will include a Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Pick.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars lost to the Browns and Bills, and they play the Colts next. The Jacksonville Jaguars look to avoid their first 0-4 start since the 2021 season. Trevor Lawrence is completing 52.8 percent of his passes for 560 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brian Thomas Jr. and Gabe Davis have combined for 312 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Christian Kirk has 10 receptions.

The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 115.7 yards per contest, and Travis Etienne Jr. leads the way with 164 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 28.3 points and 361.7 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 22 tackles, Travon Walker has 2 sacks and Josh Hines-Allen has 2 pass deflections.

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans beat the Bears, lost to the Vikings, and play the Bills next. The Houston Texans have won 7 of their last 9 home games. C.J. Stroud is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 709 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs have combined for 502 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell has 9 receptions.

The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 108.7 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 184 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 24.7 points and 260.7 yards per game. Henry To'oTo'o leads the Houston Texans with 25 tackles, Will Anderson Jr. has 2.5 sacks and Derek Stingley Jr. has 1 interception.

Why the Houston Texans will win

  • The Texans have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
  • The Jaguars have lost 10 of their last 11 Week 4 road games.
  • The Texans have covered the spread in five of their last six games against the Jaguars following a loss.
  • The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first quarter in four of their five previous September games at NRG Stadium.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first half in eight of their last 10 September road games against AFC South opponents.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

  • Stefon Diggs has recorded 60+ receiving yards in eight of his last nine September appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Stefon Diggs has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine September appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 274+ passing yards in four of his five previous regular season home appearances against AFC opponents.
  • C.J. Stroud has thrown two touchdowns in five of his six previous appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in 11 of his last 12 regular season appearances against AFC South opponents.
  • Joe Mixon has recorded 61+ rushing yards in each of his last five Week 4 appearances.
  • Stefon Diggs has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC South opponents.
  • C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Texans' last three games as favorites following a road loss.
  • Ka'imi Fairbairn ranks 1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (6) this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown two touchdowns in three of the Jaguars' last four games against AFC South opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 86+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jaguars' last four road games against AFC South opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 27+ receiving yards in each of the Jaguars' last four road games against AFC South opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has recorded 52+ rushing yards in seven of the Jaguars' last eight games against AFC South opponents.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 241+ passing yards in five of the Jaguars' last six games against AFC South opponents.
  • Travis Etienne has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars' last three games following a road loss.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 25+ completions in four of the Jaguars' last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • Montaric Brown has recorded the equal-most solo tackles in a single game this season (11 vs Browns, Week 2).

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texans rank T2nd in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (66.7) this season.
  • Last season, the Texans made the playoffs for the first time since the 2019 season.
  • The Jaguars rank 30th in the NFL in points per game (13.3) this season.
  • The Jaguars rank 30th in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (252.3) this season.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction

The Jacksonville Jaguars have been a mess on both sides of the ball through three games, and you have to wonder when players will start checking out. The Jags offensive line is a disaster, Lawrence can't make things happen, and the defense is 30th against the pass and 28th in scoring. The Houston Texans will be eager for a bounce-back performance after losing to the Vikings, and they've won 8 of the last 10 games against the Jaguars while covering 6 of those games. The Jaguars are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when underdogs of 7 or more points. I want nothing to do with the Jaguars. Give me the Texans by double-digit points.

Randy’s Pick Houston Texans -7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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