San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 11/16/24

Pick details

Dallas Mavericks (5-7) vs San Antonio Spurs (6-6)

November 16, 2024 at 08:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -10.5 / San Antonio Spurs +10.5 — Over/Under: 223

(Get latest betting odds)

The San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks meet Saturday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview

The San Antonio Spurs beat the Wizards, lost to the Lakers, and they play the Thunder, Jazz, and Warriors next. The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 109.8 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 109.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 22.3 points and 10.2 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 16.7 points and 3 assists. Jeremy Sochan is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Jazz and Warriors, and they play the Thunder, Pelicans, and Nuggets next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 111.3 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 29.3 points and 8 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 25.2 points and 4.6 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last 10 night games against Spurs teams that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 15 games as road underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mavericks’ last seven games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Spurs’ last eight road games following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Dallas Mavericks should be big favorites against a subpar team at home, but there’s no way you can lay this line confidently. The Mavs are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games and have lost 4 straight games overall, which includes a loss to the Jazz as 8-point favorites. The San Antonio Spurs are on the end of a back-to-back, but they continue to compete, and their offense is improving. I just can’t get there after being burned by the Mavs a few times this season. Give me the Spurs and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: San Antonio Spurs +10.5

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