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Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 11/4/24
Pick details
Miami Heat (3-2) vs Sacramento Kings (3-3)
November 4, 2024 at 08:15 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat -2.5 — Over/Under: 223.5
The Miami Heat play host to the Sacramento Kings at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Pick.
Sacramento KingsÂ
The Sacramento Kings will be eager to bounce back in this one after having their three-game win streak halted by the Raptors in a 131-128 overtime road loss on Saturday. DeMar DeRozan led the team with 33 points on 12 of 27 shooting, De’Aaron Fox added 24 points with five steals, Malik Monk scored 21 points off the bench while Domantas Sabonis tallied a triple-double of 17 points with 20 rebounds and 10 assists. As a team, the Kings shot 46 percent from the field and 10 of 40 from the 3-point line as they rallied back from a 13-point fourth-quarter deficit to force overtime, only to allow the Raptors to slip away in a close finish.Â
Miami HeatÂ
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have won three of their past four games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the Wizards in a 118-98 road win on Saturday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 32 points and 14 rebounds on 12 of 24 shooting, Jimmy Butler added 18 points with eight rebounds and four assists while Tyler Herro and Alec Burks scored 15 points apiece. As a team, the Heat shot just 42 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 31 points in the first quarter to take the early double-digit lead, before they poured in another 33 points in the third to push the margin out to 24 points.Â
Why the Sacramento Kings will win
- The Kings have won each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Heat have lost six of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Kaseya Center following a win.
- The Kings have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games against Eastern Conference opponents following a loss.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Tyler Herro ranks 13th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (3.6) this season.
- Bam Adebayo ranks 25th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.6) this season.
Sacramento Kings Player Facts
- DeMar DeRozan ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.3) this season.
- Keegan Murray ranks T31st amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (8.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 30th for second-chance points (56) this season.
- The Heat rank 28th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (48.6).
- The Kings rank 3rd in the league for steals per game this season (10.2).
- The Kings are one of three teams to rank in the top 10 for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.
Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Kings could be a little shorthanded for this one with Kevin Huerter listed as questionable with an illness, while the Heat are expecting to have a full squad for this meeting. The Kings have been playing some great basketball lately and we could easily be talking about them going for a fifth straight win if they could just get past the Raptors who were playing extra hard for Vince Carter who was in attendance. The Heat are starting to turn around a slow start to the season and they made it look easy against the Wizards in their last outing, so we should be in for a good contest here. You can make an argument for either side here, but the Kings have been playing the better basketball so far and I think they can bounce back with a minor upset win on the road here.
