Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 11/4/24

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Denver Nuggets (3-3) vs Toronto Raptors (2-5)

November 4, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -10.5 / Toronto Raptors +10.5 — Over/Under: 223.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Toronto Raptors Betting Preview

The Toronto Raptors lost to the Lakers, beat the Kings, and they play the Clippers and Kings next. The Toronto Raptors are averaging 119.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 125.6 points on 48.6 percent shooting. RJ Barrett is averaging 28.8 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Gradey Dick is averaging 21 points and 2.7 rebounds. Scottie Barnes is the third double-digit scorer, and Immanuel Quickley is dishing 4 assists. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.5 percent from the free-throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.1 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Jazz, lost to the Timberwolves, and they play the Heat and Thunder next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 117.8 points on 44.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.3 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.8 points and 12.3 rebounds, while Aaron Gordon is averaging 17.5 points and 7.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Jamal Murray is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.8 rebounds per game.

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Raptors will be without Kelly Olynyk, Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, and Bruce Brown. The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Vlatko Cancar, and Jamal Murray, while Aaron Gordon is probable.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last 17 night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Raptors have lost each of their last 11 night games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in five of their last six games at Ball Arena against Eastern Conference opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Raptors have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 14 games following a home win.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Michael Porter Jr. ranks T10th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made Per Game (2.5) this season.

Toronto Raptors Player Facts

  • RJ Barrett ranks T4th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made Per Game (3.0) this season.
  • Gradey Dick ranks T4th amongst qualified Forwards for FT% (92.3%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (83.3%).
  • The Nuggets rank 29th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.7).
  • The Raptors rank 30th in the league for Q1 opponent points per game this season (32.4).
  • The Raptors rank 30th in the league for defensive rating this season (120.5).

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

I’m not running to the window to back the Toronto Raptors given their injuries, but they’ve competed this season and are 6-1 ATS. The Denver Nuggets have had issues finishing games, they have no bench, and now they’re without one of their best players in Murray. The Nuggets are also 2-4 ATS. This line is steep, and it feels like oddsmakers are still believing the old Nuggets will return. Not buying it. Give me the Raptors and the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Raptors +10.5

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