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Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/28/25 NBA Picks

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Minnesota Timberwolves (41-32) vs Phoenix Suns (35-38)

March 28, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -7 — Over/Under: 227

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves meet on Friday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Phoenix Suns Betting Preview 

The Phoenix Suns beat the Bucks, lost to the Celtics, and they play the Rockets, Knicks, and Warriors next. The Suns have won five of their last seven games, but they’re currently out of the play-in tournament. 

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 115.7 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.8 points and 6.1 rebounds, while Devin Booker is averaging 25.7 points and 4.1 rebounds. Bradley Beal is the third double-digit scorer, and Grayson Allen is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 81.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves lost to the Pacers, beat the Pelicans, and they play the Pistons, Nuggets, and Nets next. The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games and are currently in the eighth seed in the West.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 113.7 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 46 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.5 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.7 points and 4.6 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Suns have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
  • The Timberwolves have won 10 of their last 11 home games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Suns have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last five night games against the Suns.

Why the Phoenix Suns will win

  • The Suns have won five of their last six games following a loss.
  • The Timberwolves have lost three of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents after losing as favorites.
  • The Suns have covered the spread in each of their last six Friday games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (27.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (25.8).
  • The Suns rank 2nd in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.3%).
  • The Suns rank 2nd in the league for free throw percentage this season (81.1%).

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The Timberwolves don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Suns will be without Bradley Beal due to a hamstring injury.

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves have won seven straight games against the Suns, and they’re the healthiest team in the league right now. The Timberwolves should win, and history suggests they will. However, the Timberwolves continue to play with their food, and you’re never sure which team is showing up. We just saw the Timberwolves lose to the Pelicans and Pacers as double-digit favorites. The Suns have quietly played improved ball with wins in five of their last seven games, and they need to keep winning to get back in the play-in conversation. The Suns also should have some pride after constantly getting beat up by the Timberwolves. I’ll take a stab with the points.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Phoenix Suns +7

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