Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction 3/28/25 NBA Picks

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview 

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Pistons, beat the 76ers, and they play the Hornets, Clippers, and Lakers next. The Pelicans have nothing to play for and have lost 10 of their last 14 games. 

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 110.5 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.5 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 24.6 points and 7.2 rebounds, while CJ McCollum is averaging 20.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Trey Murphy III is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandon Boston is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 75.5 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

• The home team has won eight of the Warriors' last nine games.
• The Warriors have lost three of their last four games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Pelicans have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last 17 Friday night games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pelicans have lost each of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
• The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report 

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III, Herbert Jones, Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, and Brandon Boston.

The Warriors are without Gary Payton II, while Stephen Curry is questionable due to a pelvis injury.

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

The Warriors will be eager to rebound from an embarrassing effort against the Heat, but this line is a bit rich when we’re not sure if Curry is going to play. The Warriors have issues creating offense without their best player, and they’re 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a double-digit favorite. The Pelicans have nothing to play for, and they’re still down many key players, so I understand the line. I’m still not laying this number with the Warriors in their current form and how they’ve handled big lines all season. Give me the Pelicans and the points.