Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction NBA Picks 11/6/24

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Denver Nuggets (4-3) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (7-0)

November 6, 2024 at 09:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets +6.5 / Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 — Over/Under: 223

(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets meet Wednesday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Magic and Clippers, and they play the Rockets and Warriors next. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 113.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 96 points on 39 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 25.7 points and 6.9 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 18.3 points and 6.3 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 28.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets beat the Jazz and Raptors, and they play the Heat and Mavericks next. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 118.4 points on 45.5 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.6 points and 12.6 rebounds, while Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.9 points and 7.3 rebounds. Jamal Murray is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

The Thunder will be without Jaylin Williams, Kenrich Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Nikola Topic. The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, Vlatko Cancar, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last seven games.
  • The Nuggets have lost four of their last five games against Northwest Division opponents.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
  • The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at Ball Arena following a home win.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets’ last six night games against the Thunder following a home win has gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Thunder’s last four games at Ball Arena has gone UNDER the total points line.

Denver Nuggets Player Facts

  • Christian Braun ranks 4th amongst qualified Guards for FG% (54.2%) this season.
  • Michael Porter Jr. ranks 9th amongst qualified Forwards for three-pointers made Per Game (2.6) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 25.0 points, 5.0 assists, and 5.0 rebounds this season.
  • Luguentz Dort ranks 13th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (85.7%).
  • The Nuggets rank 29th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for steals per game this season (13.1).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (7.4).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder were one of the best covering teams in the NBA last season, and this year is no different. OKC is 6-1 ATS on the season. The Denver Nuggets have had issues finishing games, they have no bench, and now they’re down two major rotation players in Murray and Gordon. It’s hard to like the Nuggets even if they’re at home. I’ll ride one of the cash cows. Give me the Thunder.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5

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