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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 2/28/25 NBA Picks

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Atlanta Hawks (27-32) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (47-11)

February 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks +12.5 — Over/Under: 241.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Atlanta Hawks collide at the State Farm Arena on Friday night. Here’s an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include an Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in great shape as they’ve won 10 of their last 12 games and they will be eager to stay hot after taking down the Nets in a 129-121 road win on Wednesday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 27 points, six rebounds, and five assists, Aaron Wiggins added 24 points off the bench while Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams scored 22 points each. As a team, the Thunder shot 53 percent from the field and nine of 30 from the 3-point line as they got off to a sloppy start. The Thunder allowed 76 points in the first half to trail by as many as 18 points, before they dominated the second half by 68-45 to run down the Nets with time to spare. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping for a better result after getting scorched by the Heat in a 131-109 road defeat on Wednesday. Dyson Daniels continued his strong form with 18 points and five assists on eight of 10 shooting, Mouhamed Gueye and Caris LaVert scored 17 points each while Onyeka Okongwu chipped in with 13 points, nine rebounds, and two blocks. As a team, the Hawks shot 50 percent from the field and 12 of 32 from the 3-point line as they poured in 37 points in the second quarter to tie the scores going into halftime. Only to get smashed by 66-44 in the second half to get blown out in a disappointing finish. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Hawks have won nine of their last 15 games as home underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Thunder have lost four of their last five games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

  • The Thunder have won each of their last 16 games against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Thunder have covered the spread in four of their last five games as favorites against the Hawks.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 11 games at State Farm Arena following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Thunder’s last seven games as favorites against the Hawks has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Twelve of the last 15 games between the Thunder and Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Thunder are still missing Alex Caruso and Ajay Mitchell, while the Hawks have ruled out Larry Nance Jr and Jalen Johnson once again. The Thunder come into this meeting as one of the hottest teams in the league. They are getting into a bad habit of falling behind early, but that still hasn’t stopped them from racking up wins on a nightly basis. In contrast, the Hawks have been doing it tough lately and they just got trounced by the slumping Heat in their last outing. The line was always going to be hefty for this matchup, but it still isn’t enough to sway me from taking this Thunder team who are as healthy as they’ve been all season.

Peter Tran's Pick: Oklahoma City -12.5

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