Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction NBA Picks 11/10/24

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Minnesota Timberwolves (5-3) vs Miami Heat (3-4)

November 10, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota -7.5 — Over/Under: 216.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Heat travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

Miami Heat 

The Miami Heat have been in a rut as they’ve lost four of their last five games and they will be hoping to avoid a fourth straight defeat after getting beaten by the Nuggets in a 135-122 road defeat on Friday. Tyler Herro led the team in scoring with 24 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists, Bam Adebayo and Duncan Robinson scored 20 points each while Terry Rozier and Haywood Highsmith scored 15 points apiece. As a team, the Heat shot 48 percent from the field and an efficient 20 of 43 from the 3-point line, but they were on the back foot from the start as the Nuggets were always in control after exploding for 40 points in the first quarter. 

Minnesota Timberwolves 

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been in decent shape as they’ve won four of their last five games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after making light work of the Trail Blazers in a 127-102 home win on Friday. Anthony Edwards drained a career-high nine 3-pointers to lead the team with 37 points and five assists, Julius Randle added 22 points with four assists while Naz Reid chipped in with 15 points and seven assists off the bench. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 48 percent from the field and 22 of 50 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with a 35-17 first-quarter domination before they pulled away in the second half to extend their win streak to three games. 

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Timberwolves have lost five of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in 16 of their last 20 road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Heat’s last four road games following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Timberwolves’ last six games have gone OVER the total points line.

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Heat are still without Jimmy Butler and Jaime Jacquez Jr, while the Timberwolves are coming into this game with a full squad. The Heat could really do with a win to get their season on track, but they’re missing a couple of key players and haven’t looked great during their three-game skid. In contrast, the Timberwolves have reeled off three straight wins and just demolished the Trail Blazers in an easy win on Friday. The Heat need the win more, but it will be the Timberwolves who should be too much to handle at home.

Peter Tran's Pick: Miami -7.5

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