Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction 4/5/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Memphis Grizzlies invade the Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday night. Here’s a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction. This article will include a Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

The Memphis Grizzlies have been in a major slump as they’ve lost 16 of their last 18 games overall and they will be hoping for a better effort after getting humbled by the Raptors in a 128-96 loss on Friday. GG Jackson led the team with 30 points on 10 of 16 shooting; Cedric Coward added 15 points, while Javon Small chipped in with 14 points, six rebounds and four assists.

As a team, the Grizzlies shot 40 percent from the field and 11 of 42 from the 3-point line as they looked outmatched from the start and scored just 41 points in the first half and things didn’t get much better in the second half where they leaked 69 points to suffer another blowout defeat. Dariq Whitehead scored just eight points on three of 10 shots while Rayan Rupert scored just four points on two of seven shots. 

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in a slump of their own as they’ve lost 16 of their last 20 games overall and they are now looking to avoid a third straight defeat after getting smashed by the Celtics in a 133-101 home defeat on Friday. Taurean Prince led the team with 18 points on seven of eight shooting off the bench; AJ Green added 15 points with five assists, while Kyle Kuzma and Pete Nance each scored 14 points.

As a team, the Bucks shot 42 percent from the field and 21 of 47 from the 3-point line as they struggled right from the tipoff and were always fighting a losing battle after getting outscored by 75-55 in the first half. Ousmane Dieng has been a lone bright spot for the Bucks in recent games but he struggled and scored just nine points on four of 15 shooting.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last seven road games.
• The Bucks have won each of their last seven games at Fiserv Forum against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Fiserv Forum against teams that held a losing record.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games on the first leg of a back-to-back against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Grizzlies have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Bucks.
• The Bucks have lost four of their last five games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games against the Bucks.
• The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Grizzlies teams that held a losing record.

Total Points: Facts

• Seven of the Bucks’ last eight home games against the Grizzlies have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Grizzlies’ last five games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bucks rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (13.9).
• The Bucks rank 30th for points in the paint (3218) this season.
• The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to lose 15+ games when leading at HT this season.
• The Grizzlies rank 28th in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (29.4).

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction

The Grizzlies have ruled out a total of 15 players, with Walter Clayton Jr. also listed as questionable, while the Bucks have ruled out Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Trent Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr., and Bobby Portis. The Grizzlies took down the Bucks by 125-104 back on Dec 26 but both teams are just dealing with so many injuries right now so it’s hard to use that as a reference. It’s tempting to take the Bucks at the short line at home, but they’ve just been so bad lately that I have to lean toward the Grizzlies to pull off the upset on the road.

Peter Tran's Pick: Memphis +5.5