Japan vs Brazil Prediction 8/2/24 Men’s Olympic Basketball Picks

Pick details

Brazil vs Japan

August 2, 2024 at 05:00 AM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Japan +2.5 — Over/Under: 167.5

(Get latest betting odds)

Japan and Brazil meet Friday in the 2024 Men’s Basketball Summer Olympics at Pierre Mauroy Stadium. Here’s a Japan vs Brazil Prediction. This article will include a Japan vs Brazil Pick.

Japan Betting Preview

Japan could use a feel good Olympic victory after losses to Germany and France. Japan is averaging 83.5 points on 39 percent shooting and allowing 95.5 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Rui Hachimura is averaging 22 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Yuki Kawamura is averaging 20 points and 6.5 assists. Josh Hawkinson is the third double-digit scorer and Yuta Watanabe is grabbing 5 rebounds. Japan is shooting 39.4 percent from beyond the arc and 85.2 percent from the free throw line. Japan is allowing 39.3 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 40 rebounds per game.

Brazil Betting Preview

Brazil are also looking for its first Olympic victory after losses to France and Germany. Brazil is averaging 69.5 points on 30.4 percent shooting and allowing 82 points on 50 percent shooting. Vitor Benite is averaging 12 points and 1.5 rebounds, while Yago Santos is averaging 10 points and 7 assists. Leo Meindl is the third double-digit scorer and Marcelinho Huertas is grabbing 3 rebounds. Brazil is shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68.5 percent from the free throw line. Brazil is allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and is grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.

Japan vs Brazil Prediction

You can make a case for Brazil because it’s probably the better team on paper. However, I’m not laying chalk with Brazil, arguably the worst offensive team in the Olympics through two games. Brazil is barely shooting 30 percent from the field and is averaging just under 70 points. In fact, Brazil’s 139 points scored is the fewest of any team in the field. Yes, small sample size, but still. Japan has looked like the better team through two games and will have arguably the best player on the floor in Rui Hachimura. I’m going to grab the free bucket with Japan, but it’s more of a fade of Brazil more than anything else. 

Randy Chambers's Pick: Japan +2.5

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