Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 1/26/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Atlanta Hawks play host to the Indiana Pacers at the State Farm Arena on Monday afternoon. Here’s a Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers have been struggling as they’ve dropped four of their last six games overall, but they will be feeling much better after they arrest a three-game skid with a stunning 117-114 upset win over the league-leading Thunder on Friday. Andrew Nembhard led the team with 27 points, seven rebounds and 11 assists on 10 of 16 shooting, Jarace Walker added 26 points on eight of 15 shooting while Pascal Siakam tallied 21 points with six rebounds and six assists.

As a team, the Pacers shot 47 percent from the field and 16 of 38 from the 3-point line as they took the fight to the Thunder with 39 points in the first quarter to open up a 17-point lead. This was crucial as they were able to stay in front for almost the entire game despite seeing their lead get cut to just one point on multiple occasions. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview 

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks have yet to hit their stride this season, but it looks like they might be turning the corner. They are now aiming for a third straight victory after taking down the in-form Suns in a 110-103 win on Friday. Onyeka Okongwu led the team with 25 points with five assists on nine of 15 shooting, Jalen Johnson racked up 23 points with 18 rebounds and nine assists while CJ McCollum provided real punch off the bench with 21 points.

As a team, the Hawks shot 53 percent from the field and 13 of 26 from the 3-point line as they went cold in the third quarter and trailed by seven points. Before they dominated the fourth quarter by 26-12 to put away the Suns with relative ease.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Hawks have won 10 of their last 11 games against Pacers teams that held a losing record.
• The Pacers have lost seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in five of their last six games against Pacers teams that held a losing record.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

• The Hawks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have won each of the Hawks’ last three games.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in 12 of the Hawks’ last 15 games at State Farm Arena.

Total Points Facts

• Nine of the Pacers’ last 10 games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the Hawks’ last eight games as home favorites against the Pacers have gone OVER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 2nd in the league for fast break points (188) this season.
• Dyson Daniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

• Andrew Nembhard ranks 3rd amongst qualified Forwards for assists per game (7.3) this season.
• Aaron Nesmith ranks 47th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (2.4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Nine different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
• The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for pace this season (102.3).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (27.2).
• The Pacers rank 30th in the league for true shooting percentage this season (55.0%).

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Pacers are still missing Quenton Jackson, Tyrese Haliburton and Bennedict Mathurin, while the Hawks have ruled out Kristaps Porzingis and Zaccharie Risacher once again. The Pacers haven’t been able to get anything going this season, but they will be brimming with confidence after getting some revenge against the Thunder in a big upset win on Friday.

The Hawks are in similar shape as they were really struggling before winning their last two games, and they are starting to look better with McCollum contributing off the bench. This should be a close one, and I get why the Hawks are favorites, but I am leaning towards the Pacers to build on their last game with another upset in this one.

Peter Tran's Pick: Indiana -4.5