Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 4/5/2026 Today’s NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors meet Sunday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Pick.

Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Houston Rockets beat the Jazz and Bucks, and they play the Suns next. The Rockets have won 5 straight games.

The Houston Rockets are averaging 114.4 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 110.1 points on 46 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 25.9 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 20.7 points and 9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.8 rebounds per game.

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview

The Golden State Warriors lost to the Cavs and Spurs, and they will play the Kings next. The Warriors have lost 21 of their last 30 games.

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 115.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 114.9 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 27.2 points and 4.8 assists, while Brandin Podziemski averages 12.8 points and 3.7 assists. De’Anthony Melton is the third double-digit scorer, and Moses Moody is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their last seven games against the Rockets following a home loss.
• The Rockets have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Rockets and Warriors.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won each of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Warriors have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six games between the Rockets and Warriors.

Total Points: Facts

• Seven of the Rockets’ last eight games as favorites following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Warriors’ last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Gary Payton II is one of only 11 players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
• De’Anthony Melton leads all Warriors players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Kevin Durant ranks 9th in the league for second-chance points (208) this season.
• Jabari Smith Jr. has played the most minutes in a single game without making a field goal of any player in the league this season—42:16 against the Warriors on March 5.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Warriors rank 29th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.4%).
• The Warriors rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goals made per game this season (15.9).
• The Rockets have suffered the largest comeback loss from an HT lead this season—led by 22 points @ Pelicans on December 18.
• The Rockets rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (26.9).

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report

The Warriors will be without Jimmy Butler, Moses Moody, Al Horford, and Quinten Post. Seth Curry and Stephen Curry are questionable.

The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Rockets are getting respect because they’ve won 5 straight games, but this has been an underachieving team all season and their 33-44 ATS record isn’t great either. The Rockets have lost 19 times on the road as well. The Warriors are still fighting for seeding so don’t let the endless losses fool you. Also, there’s a chance Curry returns. That’s not only a massive boost to the team but it also wouldn’t add to the crowd as well. Assuming Curry plays, I’ll take a shot with the points. The Rockets aren’t fooling me with these recent wins.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Golden State Warriors +3.5